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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.28 |
-145 
|
o9.5 -103 
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
4.64 |
+135 
|
u9.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -125
|
San Diego
- Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Reds are 6-0 in Williamsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-150
|
o9.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.66 |
+140
|
u9.5 -135
|
+1.5 -115
|
Atlanta
- Under is 7-0 in Braves last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Braves are 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+147
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -157
|
|
4.42 |
-152
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +135
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 7-0 in Bradfords last 7 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-0 in Bradfords last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Bradfords last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Bradfords last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.05 |
-153
|
o11.0 -118
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.41 |
+143
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+122)
o0.5+122
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-105
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.79 |
-103
|
u9.5 -108
|
+1.5 -165
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Painters last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Painters last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-0 in Painters last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+120
|
o8.5 -106 
|
+1.5 -185 
|
|
4.67 |
-130
|
u8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +160
|
Seattle
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Sandovals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+207
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
-125
|
o7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.01 |
+115
|
u7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -160
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 9-0 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 8-0 in Ceases last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cantillos last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Cantillos last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
o0.5+203
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+135
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.85 |
-145
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5+206
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+147
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -158
|
|
4.43 |
-157
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +136
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. National League East.
- Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Top Projection
Griffin Jax u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
u4.5+110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+105
|
o8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.53 |
-110
|
u9.0 -117
|
+1.5 -184
|
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-153
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +107
|
|
4.05 |
+143
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -120
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Misiorowskis last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+256)
o0.5+256
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
-104
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
4.78 |
-105
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -180
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Perezs last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Royals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5+169
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+125
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.54 |
-132
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Astros are 4-0 in Wesneskis last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
-157
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
3.27 |
+147
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -128
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Detmers' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.23 |
+210
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
4.56 |
-240
|
u8.0 -107
|
-1.5 -105
|
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Yamamotos last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Max Muncy u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
u1.5-175
SD
@
CIN
Wed, Sep 2 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 92°.. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 92°.. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
ATL
@
WAS
Wed, Sep 2 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jackson Kent in today's game.
Total RBIs
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup.
ATH
@
TEX
Wed, Sep 2 • 2:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.
Total RBIs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jonah Heim is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Cody Bradford in today's matchup.
BAL
@
COL
Wed, Sep 2 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (-140)
Projection 2.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.
Total Bases
Samuel Basallo o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Samuel Basallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup.
PHI
@
AZ
Wed, Sep 2 • 3:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Chase Field projects as the #3 ballpark in the league for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Tim Tawa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
SEA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (+114)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
If this game were taking place at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, I would handicap it much differently than I do with the matchup being played at Fenway Park. Left-hander Patrick Sandoval gets the ball for the Red Sox, and he relies heavily on his changeup to generate outs and force hitters to put the ball on the ground. That strategy doesn't profile well against the Mariners' right-handed bats, including Randy Arozarena, Julio Rodríguez, Cal Raleigh, and Taylor Ward, who excel at driving pitches from left-handed pitchers with backspin into the gaps. A lefty who relies heavily on an off-speed pitch to generate outs is playing with fire against this Mariners lineup, especially at Fenway Park. At T-Mobile Park, the marine layer might turn some of those fly balls into outs, but at Fenway Park, they could easily become doubles off the Green Monster. The Mariners are trading at 46% on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 50% underdog.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 14th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park projects as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval today... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split.. Julio Rodriguez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TOR
@
CLE
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SF
@
PIT
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's matchup.
NYM
@
TB
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Tropicana Field ranks as the #2 park in the game for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Home Runs
Carson Benge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+920)
Projection 0.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for LHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Carson Benge will have an edge in today's matchup.. Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
DET
@
MIN
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dillon Dingler's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
MIL
@
CHC
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+313)
Projection 0.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.. Michael Conforto will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
MIA
@
KC
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of the day at 95°.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of the day at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.
CHW
@
HOU
Wed, Sep 2 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Miguel Vargas ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Colson Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Hayden Wesneski today.
NYY
@
LAA
Wed, Sep 2 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Vaughn Grissom o1.5 Total Bases (+221)
Projection 1.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vaughn Grissom's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+389)
Projection 0.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage today.
STL
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 2 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+289)
Projection 0.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.. Hitters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
