Final Sep 19
SF 3 +142 o7.0
BAL 5 -155 u7.0
Final Sep 19
ATL 15 -214 o9.0
CIN 3 +194 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 19
MIN 2 -111 o8.0
CLE 3 +103 u8.0
Final Sep 19
TOR 4 +122 o7.5
TEX 0 -132 u7.5
Final Sep 19
NYY 2 +111 o7.0
SEA 3 -120 u7.0
Final Sep 19
LAD 20 -200 o8.0
MIA 4 +182 u8.0
Final Sep 19
BOS 0 -108 o8.0
TB 2 -100 u8.0
Final Sep 19
PIT 3 +130 o8.5
STL 2 -141 u8.5
Final Sep 19
AZ 5 -122 o8.5
MIL 1 +112 u8.5
Final Sep 19
PHI 6 +126 o8.0
NYM 10 -136 u8.0
Final Sep 19
WAS 6 +162 o8.5
CHC 7 -177 u8.5
Final Sep 19
LAA 1 +242 o8.0
HOU 3 -272 u8.0
Bally Sports Network

Kansas City @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Based on Statcast metrics, Freddy Fermin grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288. Freddy Fermin grades out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate since the start of last season). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits, and Freddy Fermin's 26.1° mark (78th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile. In notching a .277 batting average since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin is ranked in the 88th percentile.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Based on Statcast metrics, Freddy Fermin grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288. Freddy Fermin grades out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate since the start of last season). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits, and Freddy Fermin's 26.1° mark (78th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile. In notching a .277 batting average since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin is ranked in the 88th percentile.

Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velázquez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Nelson Velazquez has recorded a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph.

Nelson Velázquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Nelson Velazquez has recorded a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 89th percentile at 95.8 mph.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Loftin
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+262
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+262
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Nick Loftin's quickness has improved this season. His 27.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.82 ft/sec now. In notching a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Loftin is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Nick Loftin's quickness has improved this season. His 27.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.82 ft/sec now. In notching a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Loftin is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+213
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack in today's matchup.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack in today's matchup.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+172
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .383. Salvador Perez has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (77th percentile).

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .383. Salvador Perez has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (77th percentile).

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Santana
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+143
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will have a tough time against Brady Singer and his large platoon split in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will have a tough time against Brady Singer and his large platoon split in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
2.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
2.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Maikel Garcia will have a tough challenge today. Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 2.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
2.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Maikel Garcia will have a tough challenge today. Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Christian Vazquez will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .181 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Vazquez has been unlucky given the .082 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .263. Christian Vazquez grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Christian Vazquez will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .181 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Vazquez has been unlucky given the .082 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .263. Christian Vazquez grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Buxton
designated hitter DH • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Byron Buxton will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Byron Buxton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Byron Buxton will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Byron Buxton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-192
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-192
Projection Rating

Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Farmer today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Kyle Farmer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Kyle Farmer has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Farmer today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Kyle Farmer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Kyle Farmer has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Miranda
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Jose Miranda's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.63 ft/sec last year to 26.1 ft/sec currently. Jose Miranda has been lucky this year, putting up a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .029 gap. Since the start of last season, Jose Miranda's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 17th percentile at 88.4 mph. Jose Miranda ranks in the 9th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (8.5% rate since the start of last season).

Jose Miranda

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Jose Miranda's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.63 ft/sec last year to 26.1 ft/sec currently. Jose Miranda has been lucky this year, putting up a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .029 gap. Since the start of last season, Jose Miranda's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 17th percentile at 88.4 mph. Jose Miranda ranks in the 9th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (8.5% rate since the start of last season).

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Edouard Julien is in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .364.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Edouard Julien will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Edouard Julien is in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .364.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. encounters a tough challenge today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. encounters a tough challenge today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe's true offensive ability to be a .303, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .246 wOBA. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), placing in the 75th percentile.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe's true offensive ability to be a .303, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .246 wOBA. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), placing in the 75th percentile.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Jeffers today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Jeffers today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will face a mismatch against Brady Singer and his large platoon split in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will face a mismatch against Brady Singer and his large platoon split in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, MJ Melendez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .178 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284. Since the start of last season, MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, MJ Melendez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .178 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284. Since the start of last season, MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Max Kepler will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Max Kepler will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game. Trevor Larnach's 97-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game. Trevor Larnach's 97-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Alex Kirilloff will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Alex Kirilloff will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Alex Kirilloff will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Alex Kirilloff will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage against Chris Paddack today. In notching a .372 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Vinnie Pasquantino is positioned in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage against Chris Paddack today. In notching a .372 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Vinnie Pasquantino is positioned in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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