Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field dimensions in the league. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the least humidity of all games today at 33%. Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Jordan Westburg meets a tough challenge today. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the least humidity of all games today at 29%. Aaron Civale will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle today. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today. As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's ability is quite poor, sporting a 3.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 23rd percentile.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Richie Palacios will have an edge today. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Richie Palacios has put up a .270 batting average this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Isaac Paredes is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst on the slate today). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB. Jose Caballero has notched a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the least humidity of all games today at 29%. Albert Suarez will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. This season, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.26 ft/sec currently. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randy Arozarena has experienced some negative variance given the .081 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337. Randy Arozarena has notched a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.182) provides evidence that Jose Siri has had some very good luck this year with his .188 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jose Siri has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (an advanced stat to measure power), grading out in the 80th percentile.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's game. Ben Rortvedt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Ben Rortvedt has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an advantage in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, notching a .244 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .063 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in baseball. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .222 rate is quite a bit lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jorge Mateo has been great at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him as one of MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.96 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is remarkably athletic.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. Ramon Urias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has put up a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile.