St. Louis @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some negative variance this year. His .294 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337. Paul Goldschmidt's 12.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of his batting average, Nolan Arenado has had positive variance on his side this year. His .257 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 84th percentile.

Matt Carpenter is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand today. Since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter's 11.2% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23.5° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-worst park in the league for right-handed base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games today at 30%. Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Alec Bohm will have a tough challenge in today's game. Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has had positive variance on his side given the .048 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's game. Alec Burleson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. By putting up a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alec Burleson grades out in the 75th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Dylan Carlson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .208 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Dylan Carlson and his 18.6% rank in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 85th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Dylan Carlson demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has compiled a .344 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.34 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Utilizing Statcast data, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 98th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .386. Based on Statcast data, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Nick Castellanos's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 27.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.5 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive talent to be a .321, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .054 difference between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranked in the 81st percentile, Brandon Marsh has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (91.1-mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today. Brendan Donovan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Johan Rojas's quickness has gotten better this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.86 ft/sec now. In notching a .335 BABIP since the start of last season, Johan Rojas finds himself in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In notching a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masyn Winn grades out in the 77th percentile. Checking in at the 95th percentile, Masyn Winn sits with a .308 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa is very quick, grading out in the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year. Sporting a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa finds himself in the 87th percentile.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. Brandon Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.