Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Taj Bradley will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 3.76 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Checking in at the 76th percentile, Richie Palacios has notched a .270 batting average this year.

Kyle Bradish will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Extreme flyball batters like Yandy Diaz tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Bradish. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.21 ft/sec currently. Yandy Diaz has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5° figure is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (4th percentile).

The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the game: 93rd percentile. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .326 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Extreme flyball bats like Isaac Paredes usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Bradish. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage in today's game. Ben Rortvedt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 84th percentile.

The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. In terms of his batting average, Jose Siri has been lucky this year. His .185 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .179. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Grading out in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Jose Siri has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup.

The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) implies that Jorge Mateo has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average. Jorge Mateo has been great at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) put him among baseball's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for left-handed base hits. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. By putting up a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jordan Westburg is ranked in the 91st percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°. Ramon Urias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Posting a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, Ramon Urias is positioned in the 88th percentile.