Arizona @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field grades out as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. With a .280 wOBA over the past two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been struggling at the plate. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.91 ft/sec currently. Ketel Marte is in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Corbin Carroll faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Corbin Carroll's footspeed has decreased this season. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.3 ft/sec now.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader has notched a .276 batting average this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and even more favorably, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky given the .051 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Among every team today, the worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Tucker Barnhart's quickness has gotten better this season. His 23.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup... and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge in today's game. Randal Grichuk pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

D.J. Stewart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Given Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, D.J. Stewart will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Kevin Newman will have an advantage in today's game.