Detroit @ Boston Picks & Props

Gio Urshela is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gio Urshela today. Gio Urshela's quickness has declined this year. His 26.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.32 ft/sec now.

14% of the time that Matt Vierling has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Brayan Bello will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Vierling's true offensive ability to be a .310, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .041 disparity between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez is very athletic, grading out in the 80th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.3 ft/sec this year.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers. Jarren Duran's 90.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 20th percentile since the start of last season. Jarren Duran is in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Casey Mize in today's game. David Hamilton has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Colt Keith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Garrett Cooper has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Enmanuel Valdez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Akil Baddoo will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Akil Baddoo has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Akil Baddoo is very quick, grading out in the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Vaughn Grissom's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Vaughn Grissom has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Vaughn Grissom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Javier Baez pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.282) may lead us to conclude that Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .190 actual batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Carson Kelly hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.