St. Louis @ Philadelphia props

This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dylan Carlson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dylan Carlson has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .279 rate is a fair amount lower than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dylan Carlson is in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season).

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game. Since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter's 11.2% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has had some very good luck this year. His .295 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .278.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's matchup.

Whit Merrifield's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

This year, Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 field in the majors for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 field in the majors for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Brendan Donovan's 5.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Lance Lynn throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ivan Herrera's speed has improved this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.34 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. With a .351 BABIP this year, Masyn Winn is positioned in the 94th percentile.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably toolsy, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn today. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has an average exit velocity of 90.4 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 79th percentile.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.