Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 21, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
NYY
@
DET
Mon, Jun 22 • 6:10 PM ET
NYY (-121)
Though the Detroit Tigers carry some home momentum after sweeping the White Sox, their bottom-tier offense is severely outmatched here. Detroit averages just 4.1 runs per game with a subpar .706 OPS, while the New York Yankees lead the majors in slugging percentage and home runs. Backing New York’s elite bats against a struggling Framber Valdez makes the Yankees moneyline a sharp play at -124.
CHC
@
NYM
Mon, Jun 22 • 7:10 PM ET
CHC (-116)
The Chicago Cubs feature a much healthier and deeper lineup, featuring steady production from Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ. Given Kodai Senga’s severe struggles to pitch deep into games or prevent big innings, Chicago's patient hitters should be able to drive up his pitch count early and exploit a vulnerable New York Mets bullpen. Backing the hotter pitcher against a depleted Mets roster is the clear, sharp play.
ATL
@
SD
Mon, Jun 22 • 10:10 PM ET
SD (-103)
Although the Atlanta Braves boast a superior overall record, sending a back-of-the-rotation arm against Michael King on the West Coast creates a tough uphill battle. The San Diego Padres have historically excelled in this exact spot, carrying a strong 23-17 record this season as underdogs or tight-line options. With King primed to neutralize Atlanta's power bats and force an early call to a taxed bullpen, San Diego holds the definitive situational edge to take the series opener.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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