Tampa Bay @ Miami Picks & Props
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TB vs MIA Consensus Picks
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Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the game.
Harold Ramírez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Harold Ramirez will have the upper hand in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Extreme flyball batters like Tim Anderson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tim Anderson will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .198 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tim Anderson has had some very poor luck given the .090 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.
Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Jose Siri has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .189 mark is a fair amount higher than his .181 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 93rd percentile. Jose Caballero has recorded a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .209 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .075 deviation.
Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Alex Jackson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Lopez is notably fast, placing in the 78th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.17 ft/sec this year.
Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an advantage in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Amed Rosario is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .074 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
Nick Gordon's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nick Gordon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage in today's game.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
TB vs MIA Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+16.45 Units / 34% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+4.40 Units / 7% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 57 games (-32.15 Units / -45% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 43 games (-20.80 Units / -36% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 38 games (-20.55 Units / -42% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 57 games (-12.20 Units / -18% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 23 away games (-8.35 Units / -33% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+8.55 Units / 12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 55 games (-17.35 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 42 games (-14.85 Units / -29% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 32 games at home (-13.95 Units / -40% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 59 games (-11.45 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 31 games at home (-9.45 Units / -25% ROI)
TB vs MIA Top User Picks
More PicksTampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||