Kansas City @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Adam Frazier has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .232 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 17.2% on the season to 5.9% in the last week's worth of games. Despite posting a .419 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has experienced some positive variance given the .042 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.

The weather forecast calls for the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Cole Ragans throws from, Steven Kwan meets a tough challenge today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive talent to be a .310, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .045 deviation between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kyle Isbel has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 7th-best field in MLB for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans today. Tyler Freeman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Maikel Garcia's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past 7 days. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.7-mph EV last season has decreased to 89.9-mph. Over the last week, Maikel Garcia's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

Progressive Field has the 7th-deepest CF fences in the majors. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today. In the past week's worth of games, Andres Gimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 87.9 mph to 78.8 mph. There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez's launch angle from last year's 12.9° to 8.8° this season. Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.8°, Andres Gimenez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) over the last 14 days.

David Fry is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 7th-best field in MLB for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. David Fry will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans in today's game. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Massey is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Will Brennan will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Will Brennan will hold that advantage today.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Brayan Rocchio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Vinnie Pasquantino can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 7th-best field in MLB for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans today.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game. Bo Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Bo Naylor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 7th-best field in MLB for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Austin Hedges will have the upper hand in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Jose Ramirez ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an edge today. There has been a significant improvement in Garrett Hampson's launch angle from last year's 11.5° to 17.2° this year. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.98 ft/sec this year, Garrett Hampson is quite toolsy.

Dairon Blanco's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Dairon Blanco will have an edge in today's matchup. Sporting a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, Dairon Blanco grades out in the 83rd percentile.

Freddy Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an edge in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Paul DeJong will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Paul DeJong has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so MJ Melendez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nick Loftin will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Sandlin in today's game.