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MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 23, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+129 
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.72 |
-135
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +155
|
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+188
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+120
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.39 |
-125 
|
u8.5 -124 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.27 |
+190
|
o7.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.23 |
-200
|
u7.5 -102
|
-1.5 +105
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
-108
|
o8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.09 |
+105
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -160
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Orioles last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.67 |
+145
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.22 |
-153
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
Miami
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+160
|
o9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.31 |
-195
|
u9.0 +105
|
-1.5 +105
|
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-115
|
o8.0 -125
|
-3.5 +310
|
|
4.28 |
-105
|
u8.0 +105
|
+3.5 -425
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 6-0 in McLeans last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McLeans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
-120
|
o9.0 +105
|
-3.5 +280
|
|
4.69 |
+100
|
u9.0 -125
|
+3.5 -375
|
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+145
|
o8.0 -120
|
+3.5 -350
|
|
4.21 |
-175
|
u8.0 +100
|
-3.5 +260
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Quantrills last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.73 |
-160
|
o11.0 -106
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.21 |
+150
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -105
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rockies are 6-1 in Suganos last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+200
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.16 |
-205
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +105
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+250
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 +113
|
|
-- |
-260
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 -115
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-105
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
-- |
-104
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+125
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
|
-- |
-134
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +155
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+120
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
-- |
-125
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165 
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+120
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
-- |
-125
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
MIN
@
SD
Sat, Aug 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Casey Mize u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-151)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Casey Mize has settled in nicely with San Diego, holding opponents under 2.5 earned runs in two straight starts with a 3.42 FIP. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, and Minnesota’s 91 wRC+ recent form gives him a clean matchup tonight.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 86°.
TB
@
BAL
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
TB (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Tampa Bay enters with a red-hot offense, posting a 113 wRC+ over the last 14 days, pairing high contact with disciplined plate approaches. Baltimore's bullpen has been prone to high-damage contact despite strikeout flashes. Back the Rays' superior operational baseline at a coin-flip price.
NYM
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
NYM (-121)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
CHC
@
SEA
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
The Cubs are mashing the ball, posting a 116 wRC+ and .218 ISO over the last 14 days. Seattle's bullpen has melted down recently, posting a 7.59 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Shota Imanaga gives Chicago the stability needed to keep the Mariners' lineup in check and exploit Seattle's pitching struggles at plus-money.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
