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Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+129
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+129
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+108
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+108
Projection Rating

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today's game.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today's game.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+114
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+114
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Freddie Freeman will be in a tough position today. In today's game, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (85th percentile). Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman's quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.17 ft/sec now.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Freddie Freeman will be in a tough position today. In today's game, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (85th percentile). Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman's quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.17 ft/sec now.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Walker Buehler in this game. Bryan Reynolds will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Walker Buehler in this game. Bryan Reynolds will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Andrew McCutchen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andrew McCutchen has compiled a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Andrew McCutchen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andrew McCutchen has compiled a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Kike Hernandez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. In terms of his batting average, Kike Hernandez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .198 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Kike Hernandez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. In terms of his batting average, Kike Hernandez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .198 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

E. Olivares
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Edward Olivares will hold that advantage in today's game.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Edward Olivares will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez's footspeed has increased this year. His 23.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.29 ft/sec now. Rowdy Tellez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .228 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .087 gap.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez's footspeed has increased this year. His 23.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.29 ft/sec now. Rowdy Tellez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .228 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .087 gap.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Vargas
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Miguel Vargas has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .199 BA is considerably lower than his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Miguel Vargas has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .199 BA is considerably lower than his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Barnes
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Austin Barnes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Austin Barnes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Austin Barnes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Ke'Bryan Hayes has had bad variance on his side this year with his .248 actual batting average.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Ke'Bryan Hayes has had bad variance on his side this year with his .248 actual batting average.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Connor Joe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Connor Joe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Pages
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Andy Pages will have an edge today. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Andy Pages is notably fast, checking in at the 81st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.38 ft/sec this year.

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Andy Pages will have an edge today. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Andy Pages is notably fast, checking in at the 81st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.38 ft/sec this year.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Miguel Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Rojas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Miguel Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Rojas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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