SDPA, ARID

Arizona @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The #5 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 104 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), ranking in the 1st percentile.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #5 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 104 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), ranking in the 1st percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive talent to be a .334, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .081 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive talent to be a .334, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .081 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year with his .221 actual batting average. Posting a 1.22 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year with his .221 actual batting average. Posting a 1.22 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Suárez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has had bad variance on his side given the .062 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. Eugenio Suarez's 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Eugenio Suarez and his 20.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Eugenio Suárez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has had bad variance on his side given the .062 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. Eugenio Suarez's 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Eugenio Suarez and his 20.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is quite a bit lower than his .396 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is quite a bit lower than his .396 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Solano
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Donovan Solano has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .380.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Donovan Solano has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .380.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Pederson
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Over the last two weeks, Joc Pederson has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .386. Based on Statcast data, Joc Pederson grades out in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Over the last two weeks, Joc Pederson has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .386. Based on Statcast data, Joc Pederson grades out in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Fernando Tatis Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .346 rate is quite a bit lower than his .367 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Fernando Tatis Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .346 rate is quite a bit lower than his .367 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Newman
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Posting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kevin Newman is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive skills. Kevin Newman has put up a .309 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Kevin Newman is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Posting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kevin Newman is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive skills. Kevin Newman has put up a .309 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Kevin Newman is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Moreno has put up a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gabriel Moreno has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), checking in at the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season. Gabriel Moreno has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Moreno has put up a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gabriel Moreno has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), checking in at the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season. Gabriel Moreno has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ketel Marte has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .280 mark is quite a bit lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ketel Marte has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.1 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 97th percentile. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Ketel Marte sits with a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ketel Marte has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .280 mark is quite a bit lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ketel Marte has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.1 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 97th percentile. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Ketel Marte sits with a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) may lead us to conclude that Luis Campusano has had some very poor luck this year with his .222 actual batting average. Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) may lead us to conclude that Luis Campusano has had some very poor luck this year with his .222 actual batting average. Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Christian Walker has had some very poor luck this year with his .259 actual batting average. Christian Walker's 11.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Christian Walker has had some very poor luck this year with his .259 actual batting average. Christian Walker's 11.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Jake McCarthy sports a .271 batting average this year.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Jake McCarthy sports a .271 batting average this year.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) implies that Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky this year with his .254 actual batting average.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) implies that Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky this year with his .254 actual batting average.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 mark is considerably lower than his .411 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 mark is considerably lower than his .411 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's speed has increased this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.62 ft/sec now. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.11 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile. Posting a .317 batting average this year, Jurickson Profar is ranked in the 96th percentile.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's speed has increased this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.62 ft/sec now. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.11 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile. Posting a .317 batting average this year, Jurickson Profar is ranked in the 96th percentile.

David Peralta Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. David Peralta will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. David Peralta has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .284 mark is a good deal lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

David Peralta

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. David Peralta will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. David Peralta has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .284 mark is a good deal lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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