Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Taj Bradley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today's game.

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Yandy Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Typically, batters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Bradish. This season, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.17 ft/sec currently.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (45.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Bradish. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Isaac Paredes is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams today).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive skill to be a .339, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .061 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .278 wOBA.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today. Ben Rortvedt will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 85th percentile.

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Tropicana Field.

Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Taj Bradley in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, putting up a .229 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .077 disparity. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand in today's game. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage today.

The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Tropicana Field. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley in today's game. Gunnar Henderson is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Gunnar Henderson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .197 rate is quite a bit higher than his .186 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Ryan O'Hearn has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 76th percentile. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley today. Colton Cowser has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. In the last two weeks, Adley Rutschman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .349. In terms of his batting average, Adley Rutschman has been lucky this year. His .301 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 18.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's game. Kyle Stowers will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Tropicana Field. With a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jordan Westburg is positioned in the 91st percentile. Jordan Westburg's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in MLB since the start of last season: 77th percentile. Jordan Westburg is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.