Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #4 venue in the game for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. has a tough challenge in today's game. This season, there has been a decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.27 ft/sec last year to 28.68 ft/sec currently.

The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 1st percentile.

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Tucker Barnhart will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tucker Barnhart's speed has increased this year. His 23.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage today. Joc Pederson has been hot lately, tallying a .386 wOBA over the last 14 days. Joc Pederson has put up a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Donovan Solano has been hot in recent games, tallying a .367 wOBA over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game. Corbin Carroll has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .076 deviation.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side this year. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .267. Ha-seong Kim has shown strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 96th percentile with a 1.2 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of his batting average, Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year. His .283 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ketel Marte has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.1 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 97th percentile. Placing in the 90th percentile, Ketel Marte has notched a .363 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Christian Walker has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .253 mark is quite a bit lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Christian Walker's 11.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Using Statcast data, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 86th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .283. Ranking in the 94th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important ability for achieving a high batting average. Gabriel Moreno has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.61 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. Jake McCarthy has posted a .272 batting average this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Merrill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.413) provides evidence that Jackson Merrill has suffered from bad luck this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jurickson Profar will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.58 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). As it relates to plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.15 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile. Jurickson Profar has put up a .319 batting average this year, placing in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Using Statcast data, Kevin Newman grades out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .339. By putting up a .309 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kevin Newman is ranked in the 98th percentile. Kevin Newman ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eugenio Suarez's true offensive talent to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .062 difference between that figure and his actual .256 wOBA. Since the start of last season, Eugenio Suarez's 12.5% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers. Eugenio Suarez and his 20.4° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) may lead us to conclude that Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck this year with his .258 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Luis Campusano has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .234 BA is quite a bit lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

David Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. David Peralta will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.331) may lead us to conclude that David Peralta has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .283 actual wOBA.

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.