Houston @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The Los Angeles Angels have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yordan Alvarez has suffered from bad luck given the .042 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .404. Since the start of last season, Yordan Alvarez's 17.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

Jo Adell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Jo Adell's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 99th percentile at 100.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Taylor Ward will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Taylor Ward has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (90.6-mph).

Kevin Pillar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kevin Pillar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Kevin Pillar has been hot recently, batting his way to a .398 wOBA over the last two weeks. Using Statcast metrics, Kevin Pillar grades out in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .266. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Kevin Pillar and his 21.2% rank in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Jose Altuve will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jose Altuve and his 16.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season. Jose Altuve has put up a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Chas McCormick will have the upper hand today. Chas McCormick has been unlucky this year, posting a .234 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .077 deviation. Sporting a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Chas McCormick grades out in the 87th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Chas McCormick's 11.1% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Yainer Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson today. Extreme groundball hitters like Yainer Diaz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. As it relates to his batting average, Yainer Diaz has been unlucky this year. His .258 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Alex Bregman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .235 rate is a good deal lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 17.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Zach Neto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Zach Neto has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.9° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (87th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Logan O'Hoppe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Logan O'Hoppe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Logan O'Hoppe is in the 91st percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .357. Logan O'Hoppe's 15.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium's LF fences are the 10th-deepest. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena today. Jeremy Pena's 4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 14th percentile since the start of last season. Jeremy Pena's 90.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mickey Moniak usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .191 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has had bad variance on his side given the .104 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

Jose Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Batters such as Jose Abreu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Anderson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Abreu has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .219 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262. Placing in the 76th percentile, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Jake Meyers will have an advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Jake Meyers and his 21.4% rank in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Jake Meyers is notably athletic, grading out in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.8 ft/sec this year. Jake Meyers has put up a .335 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. Matt Thaiss is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP. Matt Thaiss will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Thaiss has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .295 mark is deflated compared to his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Matt Thaiss's 10.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Luis Rengifo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Luis Rengifo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .357. Posting a .360 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Rengifo grades out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Mauricio Dubon will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Mauricio Dubon grades out in the 92nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .293. Sporting a .296 batting average this year, Mauricio Dubon grades out in the 92nd percentile.

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Willie Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Willie Calhoun can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Willie Calhoun will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Willie Calhoun's 90.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 82nd percentile.

Kyren Paris will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Kyren Paris has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .185 mark is a good deal lower than his .244 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Schanuel stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage today.

Luis Guillorme will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown today. Luis Guillorme is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP. Luis Guillorme will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Trey Cabbage has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.