Colorado @ St. Louis props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums. Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Elias Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elias Diaz today.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Charlie Blackmon today. Charlie Blackmon's 5.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 21st percentile since the start of last season. Charlie Blackmon's 86.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 11th percentile.

Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Nolan Arenado has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), checking in at the 11th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season. Ranking in the 9th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.18 ft/sec this year, Nolan Arenado is not very fast.

Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums. Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a tough challenge today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today. Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar's true offensive ability to be a .292, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .055 disparity between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Ty Blach throws from, Alec Burleson will be in a tough position in today's game. Alec Burleson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Alec Burleson has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rank him as one of baseball's worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season. Grading out in the 12th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.44 ft/sec this year, Alec Burleson is quite slow.

Masyn Winn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side given the .046 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293. Masyn Winn has compiled a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 9th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Masyn Winn's 1.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Posting a .370 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brendan Donovan finds himself in the 94th percentile for offensive skills. Based on Statcast data, Brendan Donovan grades out in the 98th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .310. Brendan Donovan ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.8% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers. Nolan Gorman's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach today. Pedro Pages hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his good side against Ty Blach in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game. Dylan Carlson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .278 rate is deflated compared to his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dylan Carlson grades out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season). Checking in at the 85th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Dylan Carlson demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core skill for achieving a high batting average.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Brenton Doyle and his 15.3° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 80th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season. Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Brenton Doyle has put up a .332 BABIP this year.

Elehuris Montero has been unlucky this year, posting a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .036 discrepancy. Checking in at the 83rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key skill for achieving a high batting average.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante today. Ryan McMahon's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph. Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.4% rate since the start of last season).

Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Ty Blach throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.37 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Greg Jones as the 17th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game. Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cave has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.2° angle is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (85th percentile). Jake Cave has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), ranking in the 93rd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.203) implies that Michael Toglia has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .161 actual batting average.

Alan Trejo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.