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New York @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Marcus Stroman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .360, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 deviation between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Marcus Stroman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .360, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 deviation between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA.

Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velázquez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nelson Velázquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive talent to be a .329, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .043 difference between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive talent to be a .329, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .043 difference between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Anthony Volpe will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. In today's game, Anthony Volpe is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (81st percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Volpe in today's matchup. Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Volpe has had some very good luck given the .022 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317. Anthony Volpe's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 108.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Anthony Volpe will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. In today's game, Anthony Volpe is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (81st percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Volpe in today's matchup. Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Volpe has had some very good luck given the .022 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317. Anthony Volpe's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 108.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Despite posting a .456 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has had some very good luck given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .416.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Despite posting a .456 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has had some very good luck given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .416.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Loftin
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Nick Loftin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Nick Loftin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°. DJ LeMahieu has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 25.62 ft/sec to 26.67 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°. DJ LeMahieu has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 25.62 ft/sec to 26.67 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest RF fences today. Typically, hitters like Maikel Garcia who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Marcus Stroman. Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest RF fences today. Typically, hitters like Maikel Garcia who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Marcus Stroman. Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Batters such as Austin Wells with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Batters such as Austin Wells with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo's 5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 21st percentile among his peers. Alex Verdugo's 89.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 16th percentile since the start of last season. Alex Verdugo's 8.5° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 18th percentile.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo's 5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 21st percentile among his peers. Alex Verdugo's 89.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 16th percentile since the start of last season. Alex Verdugo's 8.5° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 18th percentile.

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Anthony Rizzo will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rizzo has had some very poor luck given the .037 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Anthony Rizzo will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rizzo has had some very poor luck given the .037 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brady Singer) in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Oswaldo Cabrera has experienced some negative variance this year. His .236 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 field in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 84°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brady Singer) in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Oswaldo Cabrera has experienced some negative variance this year. His .236 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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