Houston @ San Francisco Picks & Props
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HOU vs SF Props
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jordan Hicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today. Extreme groundball hitters like Yainer Diaz generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Jordan Hicks. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 16th percentile with a 4.1 K/BB rate.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Hicks throws from, Jeremy Pena encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Jeremy Pena tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jordan Hicks. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena's 4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.
Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) provides evidence that Thairo Estrada has been unlucky this year with his .246 actual batting average.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.6° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game. Wilmer Flores has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.
Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today. Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .210 figure is a good deal lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Heliot Ramos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Heliot Ramos has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Brett Wisely is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brett Wisely will hold the platoon advantage over Ronel Blanco in today's matchup.
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme flyball bats like Alex Bregman are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jordan Hicks.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jose Altuve has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 16.2° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (87th percentile).
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.79 ft/sec this year, Jake Meyers is remarkably toolsy.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
Mauricio Dubon's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Mauricio Dubon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. By putting up a .293 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Mauricio Dubon finds himself in the 93rd percentile.
Jonathan Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston
Jon Singleton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand today. Jon Singleton pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Since the start of last season, Victor Caratini has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 87th percentile.
Trey Cabbage Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Trey Cabbage will have an advantage in today's matchup. Checking in at the 84th percentile, the hardest ball Trey Cabbage has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.8 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Houston
Joey Loperfido has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
HOU vs SF Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.15 Units / 24% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-19.55 Units / -27% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 55 games (-16.40 Units / -21% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 67 games (-16.25 Units / -20% ROI)
San Francisco Trends
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 60 games (-12.75 Units / -18% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 39 games (-12.40 Units / -26% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 34 games (-10.00 Units / -27% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 11 games (-5.80 Units / -35% ROI)
HOU vs SF Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
San Francisco Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
| 2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
| 3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
| 5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
| 6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
| 8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
| 9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
| 10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
| All Giants Money Leaders | |||