Chicago @ Seattle Picks & Props

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Thorpe in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year. His .220 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Locklear will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Thorpe in today's matchup. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Luke Raley's 13.2% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Ryan Bliss will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mitch Haniger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Mitch Haniger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has had some very poor luck given the .039 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Bryan Woo will hold the platoon advantage against Lenyn Sosa in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Woo's huge platoon split. Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) suggests that Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .209 actual batting average.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive talent to be a .352, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .058 difference between that figure and his actual .294 wOBA.

Luis Robert's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Robert in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Woo's huge platoon split. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Zach DeLoach is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Bryan Woo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Vaughn in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Woo's huge platoon split. Andrew Vaughn has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Corey Julks is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Corey Julks today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Woo's huge platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Corey Julks grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.2% rate since the start of last season).

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Placing in the 81st percentile, Gavin Sheets sits with a .342 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. By putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Gavin Sheets has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Martin Maldonado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jhonathan Diaz in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Considering Bryan Woo's huge platoon split, Paul DeJong will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Paul DeJong generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jhonathan Diaz. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Bryan Woo will hold the platoon advantage against Korey Lee in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Woo's huge platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.58 ft/sec to 26.08 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) may lead us to conclude that Mitch Garver has experienced some negative variance this year with his .180 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Mitch Garver's 12.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand today. Josh Rojas has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a .327 BABIP this year, Josh Rojas has performed in the 79th percentile.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Dominic Canzone has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .206 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284. Sporting a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive ability.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers. Cal Raleigh's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Nicky Lopez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Oscar Colas has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Oscar Colas has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.2 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), ranking in the 91st percentile.