NBC 10, NESN

Philadelphia @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

David Hamilton has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

David Hamilton has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Johan Rojas's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Johan Rojas's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder as the 19th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder as the 19th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Connor Wong will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Connor Wong will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Bryce Harper hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Bryce Harper hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Garrett Stubbs pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Garrett Stubbs pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast