San Diego @ New York Picks & Props

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Sean Manaea throws from, Luis Arraez will have a tough challenge in today's game. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

This game is forecasted to have the most humidity on the schedule today (88%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Harrison Bader has put up a .271 batting average this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Ha-seong Kim will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. This game is forecasted to have the most humidity on the schedule today (88%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Luis Campusano will have an edge in today's game. Luis Campusano hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Jackson Merrill will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sean Manaea. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Donovan Solano will have an advantage today. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck given the .029 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307. Tyrone Taylor's 17.8° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 85th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 92.5 mph, which is among the best in MLB at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Starling Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 84th percentile, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have the upper hand today. Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

David Peralta has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.