Tampa Bay @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Jose Siri will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Jose Caballero will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in the majors. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game. Yandy Diaz's speed has decreased this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.3 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5° mark is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (4th percentile).

Hitting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have a tough matchup today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today. Marcell Ozuna's speed has decreased this season. His 26.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.1 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .420 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has experienced some positive variance given the .079 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .269 mark is considerably lower than his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the majors. Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Amed Rosario's 3.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season. Amed Rosario has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.4° figure is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (6th percentile). With a 5.43 K/BB rate this year, Amed Rosario has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 6th percentile.

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today. This season, there has been a decline in Michael Harris II's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.78 ft/sec last year to 28.01 ft/sec currently. Michael Harris II and his 5.3° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season. Michael Harris II has compiled a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Harris II's talent is quite weak, putting up a 3.79 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 21st percentile.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adam Duvall's true offensive ability to be a .303, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .265 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°. Alex Jackson will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.