Detroit @ Houston props

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Chas McCormick will have an edge today. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .246 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance given the .064 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Riley Greene stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Riley Greene has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wenceel Perez is notably fast, placing in the 80th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Jake Rogers generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph. Jake Rogers is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season).

Jose Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's game. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Jose Abreu has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .217 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), checking in at the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Alex Bregman will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Yainer Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Using Statcast data, Matt Vierling grades out in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yordan Alvarez's true offensive talent to be a .406, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .031 difference between that mark and his actual .375 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Justyn-Henry Malloy has been cold in recent games, putting up a .279 wOBA in the past 7 days.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mauricio Dubon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon has notched a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Jake Meyers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tarik Skubal. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today. Victor Caratini will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Victor Caratini has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which ranks among the elite in baseball at the 87th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Jon Singleton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. As it relates to his batting average, Zach McKinstry has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .225 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 88th percentile. The standard deviation of Zach McKinstry's launch angle since the start of last season (24.7°) is in the 95th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gio Urshela is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Sporting a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gio Urshela grades out in the 87th percentile. Gio Urshela ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.6% rate since the start of last season). Placing in the 92nd percentile, Gio Urshela sits with a .343 BABIP since the start of last season.

Ryan Kreidler has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Mark Canha has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 81st percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today. Colt Keith has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has experienced some negative variance given the .057 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Carson Kelly has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.