Cleveland @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst field in MLB for right-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team on the slate today. With a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bo Bichette finds himself in the 24th percentile.

The #5 field in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Despite posting a .424 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has been very fortunate given the .115 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an advantage today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Andres Gimenez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .254 rate is a fair amount lower than his .319 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Jose Ramirez has been hot of late, tallying a .365 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. When it comes to plate discipline, Brayan Rocchio's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.65 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 86th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, George Springer has suffered from bad luck this year. His .198 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .321.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.218) suggests that Daulton Varsho has had some very poor luck this year with his .215 actual batting average. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Sporting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Tyler Freeman is ranked in the 86th percentile for offensive skills. Tyler Freeman has recorded a .300 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Will Brennan hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Posting a .297 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Will Brennan is ranked in the 95th percentile. With a 1.82 K/BB rate this year, Will Brennan has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Bo Naylor has been unlucky this year, notching a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .050 discrepancy. Bo Naylor's 21.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 94th percentile.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Ernie Clement hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement's footspeed has improved this year. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.99 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, David Fry ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). David Fry is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. David Fry has been hot of late, putting up a .430 wOBA over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 99th percentile, David Fry has notched a .416 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year. His .300 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .257.

Justin Turner is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Justin Turner has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile).