San Diego @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field ranks as the #30 park in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Luis Arraez meets a tough challenge today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in the game. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Jackson Merrill has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Cronenworth has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Donovan Solano will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Luis Campusano pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 92.5 mph, which ranks among the best in baseball at the 95th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Harrison Bader has compiled a .271 batting average this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. J.D. Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Francisco Alvarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Francisco Alvarez's 12.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), ranking in the 84th percentile.

D.J. Stewart is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, D.J. Stewart will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.