New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Anthony Volpe will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Volpe in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 108.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masataka Yoshida has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Masataka Yoshida generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Cooper Criswell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Aaron Judge in today's matchup. Despite posting a .455 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has been very fortunate given the .039 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .416.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). David Hamilton has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today. Placing in the 78th percentile, David Hamilton has put up a .272 batting average this year.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Juan Soto has been lucky this year, posting a .431 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .395 — a .036 gap. Juan Soto's 6.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the league: 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu's speed has gotten better this season. His 25.62 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.16 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that DJ LeMahieu has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .239 actual batting average.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Verdugo in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo's 5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 21st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) ranks in the 16th percentile at 89.9 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even more favorably, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Austin Wells has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Austin Wells has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .215 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive skill to be a .328, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .287 wOBA. Sporting a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gleyber Torres has performed in the 90th percentile.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo has been unlucky this year, putting up a .281 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .032 discrepancy. Anthony Rizzo ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) provides evidence that Giancarlo Stanton has been unlucky this year with his .233 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder as the 19th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. Tyler O'Neill will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon today. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Jamie Westbrook will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Jamie Westbrook will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in MLB for RHB batting average. Bobby Dalbec will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon today. Bobby Dalbec has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage in today's game.