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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 26, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
-130 
|
o8.5 -102 
|
-1.5 +134 
|
|
4.46 |
+115 
|
u8.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -139 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
-103
|
o8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.18 |
-110
|
u9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -177
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Justin Verlander u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-160)
u5.5-160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+140
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.40 |
-160
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +136
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Josh Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-325
|
o7.5 +103
|
-2.5 -104
|
|
2.53 |
+270
|
u7.5 -115
|
+2.5 -105
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
o0.5+245
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
-120
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.39 |
+112
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -148
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
-124
|
o7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.11 |
+110
|
u8.5 -133
|
+1.5 -157
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1-3 in Rangers last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Twins are 7-0 in Obers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-124
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +132
|
|
4.72 |
+110
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -154
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0 in Royals last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
o0.5+227
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.09 |
+197
|
o7.5 -139
|
+1.5 +102
|
|
4.69 |
-230
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 -104
|
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+160
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.16 |
-182
|
u7.5 -102
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Mays last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Dustin May o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+132)
o2.5-150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
4.30 |
-105
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -182
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
o0.5+244
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
+106
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.08 |
-115
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +165
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+243
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.86 |
-140
|
o9.5 +105
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
5.38 |
+135
|
u9.5 -114
|
+1.5 -120
|
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.12 |
+166
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.46 |
-177
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +118
|
LA Angels
- Over is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 21-6-1 in Mariners last 28 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+380)
o0.5+380
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Herzs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Herzs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Walkers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 5-1 in Walkers last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.43 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.10 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Under is 11-2-1 in Braves last 14 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Junks last 6 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.93 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
NYM
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 26 • 12:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jonah Tong o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to -120. Jonah Tong continues to generate plenty of swings and misses, posting 9.28 K/9 across his last two appearances while clearing this number in three straight starts. Washington isn't an extreme strikeout matchup, but Tong only needs five punchouts, making this a manageable number at close to even money.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 14.3-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
PIT
@
DET
Sat, Sep 26 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+465)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene is mashing right now with a .333 average, .617 SLG, and five homers in September.
The Tigers outfielder sits in the 95th percentile in xSLG and 96th percentile in barrel % this season – a testament to his power and ability to square up the baseball.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
CIN
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 26 • 3:07 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Rhett Lowder o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play down to -115. Rhett Lowder's recent form makes this earned-runs prop difficult to ignore. He's allowed more than 2.5 earned runs in seven consecutive outings while carrying a 7.25 xERA over the last month. Toronto doesn't need to be scorching offensively to capitalize on a pitcher allowing this much hard contact.
Total Hits
George Springer u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #10 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, George Springer will not have the upper hand in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.
LAD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+381)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Teoscar Hernandez posted a .400 average with a .325 ISO and 26.5% barrel rate vs. lefties over the last 30 games. Those numbers put him in the elite of the elite.
Matt Wilkinson throws fastballs nearly 60% of the time facing righties. That plays directly into the hands of Hernandez, who is sporting a .450 ISO and nearly 65% hard hit rate vs. fastballs the past 30.
Total
u7.5 (-114)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I like the Under to 55%.
The San Francisco Giants rank 24th in hard hit percentage, 26th in xSLG, and have struck out nearly 25% of the time against southpaws in September.
While the Los Angeles Dodgers still want to stay sharp, this game doesn’t carry any weight. The conditions are also favorable to pitchers at Oracle Park.
I project a 5-1 type of game, which would check both boxes.
ATL
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Drake Baldwin u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Drake Baldwin has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by the game's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Drake Baldwin today.
Total Hits
Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+156)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average.. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Brent Suter throws from, Jakob Marsee will have the upper hand in today's game.
TEX
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Nathan Eovaldi o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 3.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nathan Eovaldi in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.. It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hurlers.. In his last start, Nathan Eovaldi performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #9 field in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jordan Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Kody Clemens in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's game.
CLE
@
KC
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total Home Runs (+434)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Vinnie Pasquantino is hammering Tanner Bibee’s pitch mix, hitting .303 with a .242 ISO and 53.6% hard hit rate over the last 25 games when facing right-handed fastballs, cutters, and changeups.
Those are Bibee’s most used pitches, and account for well over 70% of what he throws to lefties.
Pasquantino has a shockingly good track record against Bibee. He is 11-18 with 10 hard hit balls and five extra base hits, two of which went the distance.
Total
u8.5 (-119)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Under is playable to 55%.
Tanner Bibee has pitched well against Kansas City this season, posting a 3.48 xERA – nearly a full run below his season output of 4.46.
Michael Wacha is an innings eater who held the Guardians to three runs over 23 innings this season. He’ll likely pitch deep into this one, giving the Guardians less time to produce against the Royals’ underwhelming bullpen.
COL
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin in today's game.. Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Hunter Goodman encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Hunter Goodman today.
STL
@
MIL
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 16%. Ivan Herrera has shown serious pop lately, homering three times in his last six games while carrying a .417 ISO. His 23.1% barrel rate and 46.2% fly-ball rate add to the appeal against Dustin May, who has allowed 1.96 HR/9 across his last five outings.
Total Bases
Masyn Winn o1.5 Total Bases (+295)
Projection 1.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
TB
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+193)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for home runs.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
AZ
@
SD
Sat, Sep 26 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Nolan Arenado is locked in at the plate, going deep four times over his last six games while posting a .520 ISO. Walker Buehler has allowed 2.28 HR/9 over the last month, and Arenado has already taken him deep twice in his career.
Moneyline
AZ (+106)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Arizona has rattled off five straight wins to stay alive in the wild-card race and gives the ball to Corbin Burnes in a must-win game. San Diego has already punched their postseason ticket, while the Diamondbacks offense has caught fire over the last fortnight (128 wRC+, .500 SLG, 3.49 bullpen SIERA). Getting Burnes backed by high urgency against Walker Buehler provides the premier late-game value on the board.
HOU
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best park in the league for lefty home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.
Total Bases
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best park in the league for lefty home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
LAA
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Randy Arozarena’s recent contact profile points to more power, with a 57.1% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate over the last week. Ryan Johnson has allowed 1.79 HR/9 on the road, while the Angels’ bullpen has also been vulnerable to the long ball.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Kade Anderson in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
