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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-115 
|
o8.5 -103 
|
-1.5 +146 
|
|
4.15 |
+102
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -167
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+106
|
o8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -195 
|
|
4.91 |
-121
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165 
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Stocks last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Over is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Junks last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+145
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.84 |
-150
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts overall.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Phillies last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+185
|
o9.0 -120
|
+4.5 -481
|
|
5.43 |
-210
|
u9.5 -120 
|
-4.5 +280
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+210 
|
o9.0 -120
|
+4.0 -500
|
|
6.21 |
-240
|
u12.5 -481
|
-4.0 +285
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-152)
o1.5-152
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
+106
|
o7.0 -195
|
+2.5 -345
|
|
4.86 |
-124
|
u8.5 -124
|
-2.5 +265
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
+116
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.68 |
-130
|
u11.5 -435
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
-120
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.61 |
+105
|
u9.0 -121
|
+1.5 -160
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+115
|
o7.0 -155
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.52 |
-130
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +172
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+240
|
o8.0 -148
|
+4.5 -295
|
|
5.87 |
-285
|
u8.5 -105
|
-4.5 +235
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
o0.5+249
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.96 |
+100
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
5.12 |
-115
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in Perezs last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.43 |
+145
|
o8.5 -110
|
+2.5 -260
|
|
|
5.45 |
-170
|
u8.5 +100
|
-2.5 +190
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in Wheelers last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 8-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+112
|
o6.0 -184
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.55 |
-130
|
u7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +188
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.47 |
+285
|
o8.5 -115
|
+2.5 -120
|
|
|
6.20 |
-330
|
u9.0 -125
|
-2.5 +120
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-105
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
4.30 |
-108
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -186
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Shane Baz o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I bought this at +112 with a fair price of -120 based on a 92-pitch projected count and 4.91 projected Ks. Shane Baz is needed in a big game with playoff implications. He's been a K-per-inning pitcher over the last 30 days and has pitched better in Baltimore, with more strikeouts per nine than on the road this season. The leash is there, too, as he has reached 90+ pitches in 80% of his last 15 starts, including 95+ pitches in nine of them. Five innings and five strikeouts is a modest projection today, especially after the Orioles used five arms yesterday and need to win this series. He's also in great form, ranking No. 23 in FIP among starters in the second half, even with some BABIP and LOB% numbers suggesting his 3.31 ERA could be even better.
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+337)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo has real power upside after going deep twice over the last week with a strong ISO and consistent fly-ball profile. Griffin is not a massive homer target, but his right-handed hitter splits and Cleveland’s bullpen air-contact numbers give Mayo enough paths to leave the yard.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Jared Young u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Jared Young has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. The #8 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jared Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.2% to 18.4%.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I’m anticipating a low-scoring game tonight at Citizens Bank Park. Houston righty Hunter Brown has been solid down the stretch, and Philly ace Cristopher Sanchez has pitched at an elite level all season. Additionally, both bullpens have shown off in the second half, with Houston ranking ninth in xERA and sixth in xFIP, while Philly respectively checks in 11th and 10th. I also value that both offenses rank below average in wOBA against the respected handedness of the starting pitcher they're facing tonight.
Spread
PHI -1.5 (+142)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Philadelphia ace Cristopher Sanchez has been next to automatic and draws a below-average Houston offense ranking 16th in wOBA against lefties and 30th in xwOBA over the past 30 days. Of course, the Philly offense is fifth in xwOBA while striking out at the third-lowest clip over the past 30 days, too. It’s a good recipe for success against Houston righty Hunter Brown. He’s sporting a solid, but unspectacular 3.90 xERA and 3.99 xFIP with a concerning 12.7% walk rate across his past 11 starts, after all.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Johnson throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Tomoyuki Sugano o3.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+121)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Yankees have a favorable matchup against Rockies right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box. New York has nine elite-rated hitters in the matchup, with the Bronx Bombers carrying a staggering .562 average hitter matchup rating in the current season dataset. Sugano has also struggled as his starts have progressed, posting a 9.69 ERA and 2.15 WHIP over his last three outings. He has allowed at least five runs in five of his last 10 poorly rated matchups.
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+228)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
It's time.
After looking like he got his sea legs back under him yesterday, this is the kind of matchup that could get him rolling. We've spent this entire article talking about why Sugano is such an easy pitcher to fade, so we don't need to revisit it. However, you really couldn't ask for a better pitcher matchup for Judge, who had the highest hard-hit rate of Yankees players a season ago against his two primary pitches.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Walks Allowed
Griffin Jax o1.5 Walks Allowed (+165)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I bought this at +165 and would play it to +120. I'd take Over 1.5 walks at +150 or better from almost every pitcher in baseball, but even more so with a pitcher who just returned from the IL and struggled in his return. Griffin Jax lasted eight outs on 63 pitches against the Mets in his return to the rotation, but he struggled with his command, issuing two walks while giving up seven hits. That was at home. Now he heads on the road and projects for 1.66 walks on a short leash of 76 pitches, which should be a very accurate pitch count from THE BAT. Since the start of July, Jax has had multiple walks in four of seven starts, and his recent elbow injury isn't helping his command profile. It's going to take a lot of moving toward even money to get me off this prop.
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Davis Martin in today's matchup.. Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Michael Massey o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This homer bet is on the books at 23.9% and playable to 25% because Crow-Armstrong took Milwaukee starter Logan Henderson deep last week, and his .316 ISO against righties is second in the majors. Additionally, the Chicago star paces the league with 20 homers and a .395 ISO in the second half.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This Over 7.5 is in at 51.2% and recommended to 53.5% because both offenses are rolling at the dish. The Cubbies are fifth in wOBA and third in ISO against righties for the campaign, and they also pace the majors in xwOBA and wRC+ over the past 30 days. It's a similar story for the Brewers, with Milwaukee pacing the majors in wOBA against right-handed pitchers for the year, and they also rank second in wOBA and eighth in xwOBA over the past 30 days.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
The hottest Cincinnati hitter, Elly De La Cruz has homered in each of the last four games and is 13 for his last 25 for a .520 average and 1.080 slugging percentage. That’s a 1.636 OPS and an OPS plus of 352.
Strikeouts Thrown
Yoshinobu Yamamoto o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-108)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I bought this at -108 and would play it to -120. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been cashing Overs for four straight starts. He has 34 Ks over his last 25+ innings, is getting a 100-pitch leash, and could flirt with double-digit punchouts today because it's the Reds. Cincinnati is the best strikeout matchup in baseball in the second half, with a 26.2% K rate that tops the league. They have been whiffing at the highest rate in baseball all summer, and with the Reds possibly looking forward to a day off in Los Angeles before a series in Milwaukee on Friday, this sets up as a letdown spot. They're 8.5 games back of the final Wild Card spot and have plenty of reason to start looking ahead. Yamamoto is entering playoff mode just as the Reds are letting their foot off the gas of a long season. There is no reason to get off his Ks today.
TB
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 10 • 12:15 PM ET
Moneyline
TB (-101)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
While Nick Martinez has limited Atlanta hitters to a lifetime .222/.294/.348 slash line, Martin Perez hasn’t fared well against Tampa Bay, with Rays batters sporting a .851 OPS against the veteran southpaw. Take the AL East leaders to grab the road win at Truist Park.
Moneyline
TB (-101)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
While Nick Martinez has limited Atlanta hitters to a lifetime .222/.294/.348 slash line, Martin Perez hasn’t fared well against Tampa Bay, with Rays batters sporting a .851 OPS against the veteran southpaw. Take the AL East leaders to grab the road win at Truist Park.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
