MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 12, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.18 @ 4.87

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Orioles vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.18

+102

o8.5 -120

-1.5 +160

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.87

-105

u9.0 -120

+1.5 -170

Philadelphia @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.72 @ 4.32

STL
STL logo
STL

Phillies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.72

-150

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +110

STL logo
STL
STL

4.32

+147

u8.5 -118

+1.5 -120

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Tampa Bay @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

5.89 @ 4.75

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Rays vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

5.89

-185

o9.0 -125

-1.5 -115

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.75

+175

u9.5 -120

+1.5 +105

Colorado @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.73 @ 5.24

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Rockies vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.73

+157

o9.5 +105

+1.5 -130

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.24

-164

u9.5 -115

-1.5 +122

Top Projection Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Houston @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.31 @ 4.27

SF
SF logo
SF

Astros vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.31

-135

o8.5 +100

-1.5 +125

SF logo
SF
SF

4.27

+130

u8.5 -105

+1.5 -125

Top Projection Willy Adames o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
o1.5+110
Milwaukee @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.91 @ 4.40

SD
SD logo
SD

Brewers vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.91

-115

o8.0 -112

-1.5 +150

SD logo
SD
SD

4.40

+106

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -160

Top Projection William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+194
Cleveland @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.05 @ 4.46

DET
DET logo
DET

Guardians vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.05

+115

o7.5 -130

+1.5 -180

DET logo
DET
DET

4.46

-122

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +176

Top Projection Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.20 @ 4.20

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Pirates vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.20

+105

o8.0 -112

+1.5 -200

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.20

-112

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
o0.5+250
Chi. Cubs @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.58 @ 4.18

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Cubs vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.58

-155

o9.5 +105

-1.5 +102

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.18

+147

u9.5 -113

+1.5 -110

Seattle @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.00 @ 5.04

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Mariners vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.00

+115

o8.5 -110

+1.5 -180

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.04

-120

u8.5 +102

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Boston @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.98 @ 3.95

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Red Sox vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.98

-120

o7.0 -120

-1.5 +145

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.95

+110

u7.5 -115

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
o0.5+222
NY Mets @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.98 @ 5.77

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Mets vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.98

+143

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -145

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.77

-150

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
o0.5+191
Cincinnati @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.78 @ 5.30

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Reds vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.78

+130

o8.5 -122

+1.5 -150

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.30

-139

u9.0 -109

-1.5 +148

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
Texas @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.96 @ 4.42

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Rangers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.96

-125

o9.0 -114

-1.5 +130

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.42

+120

u9.5 -120

+1.5 -135

Top Projection Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Kansas City @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.39 @ 5.10

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Royals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.39

+205

o9.0 -115

+1.5 -105

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.10

-195

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +102

Top Projection Carter Jensen o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5+265
Cleveland @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Guardians vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

--

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

--

--

--

Seattle @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mariners vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Reds vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

--

--

--

Boston @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Red Sox vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cubs vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

--

--

--

Texas @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rangers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Aug 12 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyler O'Neill projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Coby Mayo has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 14 days.. Coby Mayo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph EV.
View 10 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Aug 12 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Aug 12 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Home Runs
Jonah Heim logo
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Jonah Heim has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph figure.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Aug 12 • 3:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Willi Castro has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.. Willi Castro has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 107.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Aug 12 • 3:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
Projection 2.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.. Willy Adames has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Aug 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Milwaukee Brewers might have the best record in baseball, but I'm rolling with the underdog in this matchup. Polymarket has the Padres trading at 48 cents, but I actually price them as a 53-cent favorite. It's important to me that this game is being played at Petco Park because backing Robbie Ray in a ballpark where his high fly-ball rate and home-run variance are mitigated by the marine layer and the dimensions of the park is much more appealing than if this game were being played in Milwaukee. The Brewers are going to stack some aggressive right-handed hitters in the lineup against Ray who are prone to chasing high fastballs out of the zone. If Ray can successfully sequence his slider below the knees off his four-seam fastball, he should be able to use it as a put-away pitch and keep the Brewers' offense off balance.

Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Gary Sanchez will have an advantage today.. Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Gary Sanchez has performed at a clip of 25.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Gary Sanchez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 111.9 mph this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
View 11 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Aug 12 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an advantage today.. Bats such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres logo
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Aug 12 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Griffin Conine has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Griffin Conine pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Henry Davis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 97.8-mph in the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Henry Davis's true offensive talent to be a .314, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .050 difference between that mark and his actual .264 wOBA.
View 10 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Aug 12 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Andres Chaparro has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 74% of the time.. The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the best among every team in action today.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Dansby Swanson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Kent in today's matchup.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .035 deviation.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Aug 12 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Josh Naylor will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Wed, Aug 12 • 7:07 PM ET
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

The Blue Jays have really struggled against Ranger Suarez, with Toronto hitters posting a lifetime .443 OPS across 60 at-bats. While Jose Soriano’s stuff can be electric, his control remains a concern, as he ranks in the 17th percentile in walk rate at Baseball Savant. I'm siding with Boston on the road.

Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Aug 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side against Zach Thornton in today's game.
Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #4 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his strong side against Tyler Mahle in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Aug 12 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Chase Meidroth logo
Chase Meidroth u1.5 Total Bases (-205)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Rhett Lowder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Meidroth in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Chase Meidroth has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the past 7 days.
Total Bases
Sam Antonacci logo
Sam Antonacci o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Samuel Antonacci is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 90%.. Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Samuel Antonacci will have an advantage in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, Aug 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
MB
Moises Ballesteros u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over George Klassen today.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Aug 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #7 park in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Typically, bats like Tommy Edman who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Daniel Lynch.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team in action today.. Tommy Edman is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Kansas City (#3-best of the day).
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.