Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today's game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Michael A. Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.268) implies that Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky this year with his .231 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Checking in at the 99th percentile, the hardest ball Elly De La Cruz has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 119.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jason Delay will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jason Delay will hold that advantage in today's game. Jason Delay has notched a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Ke'Bryan Hayes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of the day at 91°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Yasmani Grandal will get to bat from his better side against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Yasmani Grandal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.

Connor Joe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Connor Joe will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. In the last 7 days, Jeimer Candelario has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .338. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jeimer Candelario and his 17.8% rank in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Edward Olivares will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Edward Olivares will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Stuart Fairchild is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have an edge today. Stuart Fairchild is very toolsy, placing in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.09 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Santiago Espinal has had some very poor luck given the .047 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Luke Maile will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Luke Maile has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Luke Maile's 10.8% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 78th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jonathan India will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. With a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jonathan India grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jake Fraley is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Fraley has suffered from bad luck this year. His .302 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .372. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 79th percentile.

Nick Martini has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Will Benson has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.