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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-115 
|
o6.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +162 
|
|
4.40 |
+102 
|
u6.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.99 |
+145 
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -148 
|
|
4.66 |
-162
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +145 
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
-108
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.26 |
-106
|
u8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-134
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.78 |
+120
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -132
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.59 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.27 |
-134
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
-122
|
o8.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.21 |
+106
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -162
|
Atlanta
Miami
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
-129
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.00 |
+120
|
u8.0 -124
|
+1.5 -148
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.76 |
+194
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -106
|
|
4.99 |
-200
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
o0.5+290
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+155
|
o7.5 -129
|
+1.5 -134
|
|
4.50 |
-172
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +128
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.59 |
-105
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +150
|
Texas
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.65 |
-170
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
4.92 |
+148
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -115
|
Houston
Athletics
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
+116
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.16 |
-134
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +168
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.58 |
+115
|
o6.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.71 |
-130
|
u7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.89 |
-360
|
o7.0 -135
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
2.47 |
+305
|
u7.5 -120
|
+2.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage today.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.4%.. Despite posting a .221 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Narvaez has had some very poor luck given the .058 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.. Carlos Narvaez's 90.1-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the league this year: 76th percentile.. Carlos Narvaez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), checking in at the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.
Total Bases
Carlos Narvaez o1.5 Total Bases (+390)
Projection 1.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.4%.. Despite posting a .221 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Narvaez has had some very poor luck given the .058 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.. Carlos Narvaez's 90.1-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the league this year: 76th percentile.. Carlos Narvaez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), checking in at the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Bryson Stott is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 18th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. When it comes to plate discipline, Spencer Horwitz's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.38 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jonathan Pintaro... and even better, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle in recent games (25.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° seasonal angle.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Given Jonathan Pintaro's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Coby Mayo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Coby Mayo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Heliot Ramos will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Young in today's matchup.. Heliot Ramos has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Hits
CJ
Carlos Jorge u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Carlos Jorge ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Extreme groundball bats like Carlos Jorge tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like José Soriano.. Carlos Jorge will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Carlos Jorge has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.. Carlos Jorge's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 11.8% on the season to 0% in the past week.
Total Hits
Ernie Clement u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ernie Clement is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Ernie Clement's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.9-mph figure last year has fallen off to 84.1-mph.. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 45.5% to 40%.. In the past 14 days, Ernie Clement's 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40%.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Austin Riley is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Eury Perez will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley today.. Typically, batters like Austin Riley who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Eury Perez today.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all major league parks.. Carter Jensen has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.. In the past 7 days, Carter Jensen's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Carter Jensen sports a .229 batting average this year.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Ezequiel Tovar has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 43.5% on the season to 64.7% over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some negative variance given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.. Based on Statcast data, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 77th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .271.
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak's launch angle this season (21.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° angle last year.. Mickey Moniak has averaged 32.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Gasser has a large platoon split.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-108)
Projection 2.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and the cherry on top, Gasser has a large platoon split.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+167)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.. Jake Burger has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.
Total Hits
Kody Clemens u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kody Clemens's BABIP talent is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.. In the last 14 days, Kody Clemens's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.. Kody Clemens has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph dropping to 80.6-mph over the past week.. Over the past 7 days, Kody Clemens's 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%.
HOU
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 2.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.6-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total Hits
Jesus Sanchez u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.. This season, there has been a decline in Jesus Sanchez's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.01 ft/sec last year to 26.37 ft/sec currently.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+195)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Zach Neto u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Zach Neto will be in a tough position in today's game.. Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 45.8%.. Grading out in the 96th percentile, Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .345 BABIP this year.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
