Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in MLB for RHB batting average. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (5.6°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.2° angle last season.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 107.9-mph lately. Over the past two weeks, Ceddanne Rafaela's 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Romy Gonzalez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average.

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. With a .371 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Connor Wong is ranked in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rob Refsnyder has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 94.6-mph over the past week.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand today. Reese McGuire has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.1% rate last year to 9.5% this season.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Kevin Kiermaier will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Addison Barger will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Addison Barger hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Dominic Smith's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball batters like Davis Schneider tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Turner are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humidity on the slate at 88%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.