New York @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the league. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup. Checking in at the 18th percentile, Francisco Lindor has notched a .255 BABIP this year.

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Leody Taveras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games. Compared to last year, Leody Taveras has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 17.3% this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side this year. His .265 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

Josh Smith is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 39% to 49.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Starling Marte will have an edge in today's matchup. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 42.4% to 49.1%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) suggests that Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance this year with his .280 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game. Pete Alonso's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 37.8% to 43%. In notching a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Pete Alonso is positioned in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, J.D. Martinez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.6% up to 26.3%. J.D. Martinez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Nathaniel Lowe's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 85th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side against Sean Manaea in this game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim's launch angle of late (4.3° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.7° seasonal figure.

Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has posted a .263 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .277 batting average this year, Harrison Bader finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Wyatt Langford will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 11.8%.

Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup.

Robbie Grossman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Sean Manaea in this game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Robbie Grossman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Robbie Grossman has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph figure. Brandon Nimmo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 94.8-mph. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.9% to 49.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Mark Vientos will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jose Iglesias will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney today.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Placing in the 98th percentile, Ezequiel Duran has put up a .359 BABIP since the start of last season.

Luis Torrens has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.