Arizona @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
AZ vs PHI Picks
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AZ vs PHI Consensus Picks
More Consensus
76% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksAZ 195, PHI 628
62% picking Arizona vs Philadelphia to go Over
Total PicksAZ 278, PHI 168
AZ vs PHI Props
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. This year, Edmundo Sosa has been pulled from the game early in 25% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound. The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 88.5-mph over the past two weeks. In the past 14 days, Alec Bohm's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 85.1-mph figure last season has decreased to 83.1-mph.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. This year, there has been a decline in Trea Turner's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.61 ft/sec currently. Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .340 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Nick Castellanos's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 87.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 84.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. In notching a .281 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Nick Castellanos has performed in the 22nd percentile.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Bryce Harper will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Jake McCarthy has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Eugenio Suarez's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.
Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Pache today. Cristian Pache will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 37.1% to 47.5%. Posting a 1.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.
AZ vs PHI Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 58 games (+20.70 Units / 21% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.10 Units / 27% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 29% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games at home (+17.30 Units / 30% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 56 games (-26.60 Units / -41% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 57 games (-23.65 Units / -36% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-13.85 Units / -18% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.15 Units / -51% ROI)
AZ vs PHI Top User Picks
More PicksArizona Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders |
Philadelphia Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
All Phillies Money Leaders |