Milwaukee @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #2 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. This contest is predicted to have the 6th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. today. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team in action today.

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. This contest is predicted to have the 6th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen off to 86.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) suggests that Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck this year with his .214 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.11 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's game. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 42% to 51.6%. Jurickson Profar has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 96th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate. Jurickson Profar has posted a .316 batting average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Brice Turang has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Brice Turang has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 89.3-mph. Over the past two weeks, Brice Turang's 23.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle in recent games (35° over the last week) is considerably better than his 19.5° seasonal angle. Rhys Hoskins has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 21.4° figure is among the highest in baseball this year (97th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Willy Adames's launch angle in recent games (24.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 20.8° seasonal angle. Willy Adames has compiled a .334 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 76th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sal Frelick's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. Placing in the 96th percentile, Christian Yelich sits with a .388 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and David Peralta will hold that advantage today. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 46.8% to 64.5%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that David Peralta has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .289 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last year's 94.7-mph EV. William Contreras has notched a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, compiling a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .036 difference.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 21.7%. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Tyler Black will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.

Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.