Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for dingers. Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Amed Rosario will have a tough matchup in today's game. Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Amed Rosario has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Amed Rosario's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 75.5-mph over the last week.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game. Jack Suwinski has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 107.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for dingers. Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Yandy Diaz will have a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal angle of 3.8°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.3°) over the last two weeks. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (-0.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 4.9° mark last season.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Over the last 14 days, Taylor Walls has posted a 38° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for dingers. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Richie Palacios has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .293 figure is considerably lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Jones today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Connor Joe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Yasmani Grandal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Yasmani Grandal has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Rowdy Tellez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 42.9% on the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Andrew McCutchen will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Jose Siri has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 16.4% seasonal rate to 30.4% over the last two weeks.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Jose Caballero has notched a .332 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Edward Olivares will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) implies that Edward Olivares has suffered from bad luck this year with his .221 actual batting average.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.7°) is considerably higher than his 18° figure last year.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 96°. Jason Delay will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jason Delay has compiled a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.