Seattle @ Miami Picks & Props
SEA vs MIA Picks
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SEA vs MIA Consensus Picks
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79% picking Seattle
Total PicksSEA 619, MIA 169
SEA vs MIA Props
Ryan Bliss Total Hits Props • Seattle

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. The standard deviation of Ryan Bliss's launch angle has been very consistent recently (34.3° over the last 14 days), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.
Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle

Luke Raley's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Luke Raley meets a tough challenge in today's game. Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.343) may lead us to conclude that Victor Robles has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .322 actual wOBA. Victor Robles has put up a .278 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Victor Robles's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 89th percentile.
Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Seattle

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Last season, Mitch Garver had an average launch angle of 14.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.1°. Mitch Garver has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .175 BA is quite a bit lower than his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Seattle

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Emmanuel Rivera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .243 figure is a good deal lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.4% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 96th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Emmanuel Rivera demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.
J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, J.P. Crawford meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Bryan De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 17.6%.
Dylan Moore Total Hits Props • Seattle

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Dylan Moore has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. Dylan Moore has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92-mph.
Mitch Haniger Total Hits Props • Seattle

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Mitch Haniger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Mitch Haniger has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.4-mph figure.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.317) may lead us to conclude that Otto Lopez has been unlucky this year with his .280 actual wOBA.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tim Anderson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tim Anderson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Tim Anderson's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .184 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .273 — a .089 disparity.
Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Josh Rojas has a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Josh Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 91.6-mph.
Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Dominic Canzone will be in a tough position today. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. As it relates to his batting average, Dominic Canzone has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265. Based on Statcast data, Dominic Canzone is in the 87th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .339.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph EV. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15.7% on the season to 25% over the last week.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Burger has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 93.7-mph in the last two weeks.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. Jesus Sanchez is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami

The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nick Gordon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Gordon stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Gordon will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
SEA vs MIA Trends
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 37 away games (-18.65 Units / -34% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 45 games (-9.80 Units / -18% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 25 away games (-9.60 Units / -35% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.40 Units / 35% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.85 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-19.25 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 52 games (-17.50 Units / -31% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 57 games (-17.05 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-16.20 Units / -36% ROI)
SEA vs MIA Top User Picks
More PicksSeattle Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +18444 |
2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +18315 |
3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
4 | mikeg1827 | 6-4-0 | +16505 |
5 | KingScorpio | 4-6-0 | +16095 |
6 | jr5601 | 7-3-0 | +14075 |
7 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
8 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
9 | fragma8023 | 7-3-0 | +11743 |
10 | adon131 | 4-6-0 | +11570 |
All Mariners Money Leaders |
Miami Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
All Marlins Money Leaders |