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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 22, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.35 @ 4.44

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.35

+110

o6.5 -150

+1.5 -200

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.44

-125

u7.5 -138

-1.5 +176

Toronto @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.13 @ 4.35

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Blue Jays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.13

+105

o7.5 -113

+1.5 -200

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.35

-120

u7.5 -103

-1.5 +176

Washington @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.76 @ 4.31

DET
DET logo
DET

Nationals vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.76

+136

o7.5 -135

+1.5 -159

DET logo
DET
DET

4.31

-155

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Abimelec Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
u0.5+112
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.82 @ 4.21

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Brewers vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.82

+120

o7.0 -120

+1.5 -182

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.21

-135

u7.5 -120

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.94 @ 4.20

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Cardinals vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.94

+130

o7.0 -120

+1.5 -175

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.20

-145

u7.5 -124

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Cleveland @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.62 @ 3.88

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Guardians vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.62

+110

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -200

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.88

-125

u7.0 -125

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.18 @ 3.66

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.18

+115

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -200

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.66

-130

u7.0 -125

-1.5 +184

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.70 @ 5.13

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Reds vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.70

+160

o8.5 -164

+1.5 -131

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.13

-150

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +116

Top Projection JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
Chi. White Sox @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.40 @ 4.31

KC
KC logo
KC

White Sox vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.40

-117

o8.0 -115

-1.5 +149

KC logo
KC
KC

4.31

+100

u10.0 -240

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
o0.5+245
Miami @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.09 @ 3.64

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Marlins vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.09

+181

o6.5 -118

+1.5 -122

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.64

-205

u6.5 +100

-1.5 +115

Top Projection Xavier Edwards o0.5 Total Home Runs (+2500)
o0.5+2500
NY Mets @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28 @ 4.40

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Mets vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28

+125

o7.5 -117

+1.5 -173

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.40

-140

u9.0 -210

-1.5 +155

Top Projection MacKenzie Gore o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+121)
o3.5-160
Arizona @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

6.07 @ 4.86

COL
COL logo
COL

Diamondbacks vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

6.07

-150

o10.0 -152

-1.5 -120

COL logo
COL
COL

4.86

+162

u11.0 -115

+1.5 +105

Top Projection Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
o2.5+120
Houston @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.96 @ 4.33

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Astros vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.96

+130

o7.5 -110

+2.0 -250

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.33

-143

u8.0 -138

-2.0 +186

Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+130
LA Angels @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.37 @ 5.00

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Angels vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.37

-107

o9.0 -130

-1.5 +152

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.00

-108

u9.5 -115

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+191
Minnesota @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.41 @ 3.30

SF
SF logo
SF

Twins vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.41

-130

o7.5 -110

-1.5 +135

SF logo
SF
SF

3.30

+115

u7.5 -105

+1.5 -152

Top Projection Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.51 @ 4.88

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Padres vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.51

+105

o7.5 -143

+1.5 -205

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.88

-118

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+187)
o1.5+187
Washington @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.59 @ 3.76

DET
DET logo
DET

Nationals vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.59

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

3.76

--

--

--

Minnesota @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54 @ 3.29

SF
SF logo
SF

Twins vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54

--

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

3.29

--

--

--

Toronto @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.09 @ 3.40

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Blue Jays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.09

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.40

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.09 @ 3.96

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Brewers vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.09

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

3.96

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23 @ 4.11

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Cardinals vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.11

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.72 @ 4.13

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.72

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.13

--

--

--

Cleveland @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.88 @ 3.87

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Guardians vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.88

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.87

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.86 @ 4.86

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Reds vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.86

--

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.86

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.79 @ 4.88

KC
KC logo
KC

White Sox vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.79

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

4.88

--

--

--

Miami @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

2.81 @ 3.79

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Marlins vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

2.81

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.79

--

--

--

Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. In the past 7 days, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. By putting up a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Victor Mesa Jr. has performed in the 85th percentile for offensive ability.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21.8° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.. Placing in the 86th percentile, Victor Mesa Jr. sits with a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total Bases
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u1.5 Total Bases (-290)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Ryan Vilade has been pulled from the game early in 36% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for pitchers.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Tue, Sep 22 • 6:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (90%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (90%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS @ Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jackson Kent throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. The #9 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. The weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 22.9% to 19.8%.
View 5 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 7th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.. Kyle Schwarber has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 16.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 94.3-mph figure last season has decreased to 92.3-mph.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 7th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, William Contreras will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. William Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.
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St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Thomas Saggese logo
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (+307)
Projection 0.37
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. PNC Park projects as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.. Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Thomas Saggese has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph mark.
View 10 Picks
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE @ Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS Tue, Sep 22 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Hits
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Sogard has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. Nick Sogard has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the schedule today.. Nick Sogard has been lucky this year, putting up a .323 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .031 disparity.
Total Bases
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Jahmai Jones has been pinch hit for 72% of the time.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the schedule today.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. Over the past week, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. Victor Mesa Jr.'s 21.8° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 93rd percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Max Fried logo
Max Fried o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+134)
Projection 5.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Max Fried in the 79th percentile among all SPs in the majors.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Fried to throw 99 pitches in today's outing (most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. Max Fried has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN @ Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL Tue, Sep 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+194)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Matt McLain hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 10th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
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Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Brenton Doyle has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for mound aces.. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest CF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for mound aces.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Carter Jensen will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Carter Jensen has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.. By putting up a .229 batting average this year, Carter Jensen grades out in the 23rd percentile.
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Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA @ Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage over Seiya Suzuki today.. Over the last week, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.
Total Bases
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Conforto is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Michael Conforto has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. In the majors, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.
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New York Mets image thumbnail NYM @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Tue, Sep 22 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jake Burger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Tue, Sep 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka logo
Michael Soroka o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael Soroka in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. The Colorado Rockies have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mickey Moniak, Hunter Goodman, Connor Norby, Zac Veen).. In his previous GS, Michael Soroka turned in a great performance and posted 10 strikeouts.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Michael Soroka has relied on his non-fastballs 12.2% more often this year (57.2%) than he did last season (45%).. Michael Soroka's 2526-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 95th percentile among all starters.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.. Mickey Moniak is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Daulton Varsho has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.6° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game.
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Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi logo
Yusei Kikuchi o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Projection 5.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Athletics have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Henry Bolte, Zack Gelof, Lawrence Butler, Denzel Clarke, Max Muncy).. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°.
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Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF Tue, Sep 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Hits
Marcelo Mayer logo
Marcelo Mayer u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Marcelo Mayer has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Ranked in the 19th percentile, Marcelo Mayer's average exit velocity of 85.8 mph ranks among the lowest in the league this year.. Marcelo Mayer and his 2.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.. The standard deviation of Marcelo Mayer's launch angle this year (32.3°) is in the 9th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.
Total Bases
Walker Jenkins logo
Walker Jenkins o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Walker Jenkins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 91%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Molina throws from, Walker Jenkins will have an edge in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Walker Jenkins can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
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San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Tue, Sep 22 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Los Angeles Dodgers are trading as a 54% favorite, but I price them closer to 57%, so I'm hitting the button at this price. Justin Wrobleski will open the game, but the Dodgers also plan to use Roki Sasaki in a relief role as he returns from the injured list with a blister and prepares for a potential bullpen role in the postseason. Sasaki in relief is an intriguing weapon because he can empty the tank for a couple of innings, attack hitters with his high-octane four-seamer at the top of the zone and work his splitter off it down in the zone, rather than conserving his arm for 90-plus pitches. That usage is flying under the radar in this matchup, and I think it's a big reason we're seeing an edge at the current market price. Sasaki gives the Dodgers a legitimate weapon in middle relief who can help bridge the game to the back end of their bullpen.

Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the majors.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today at 80%.. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage against Justin Wrobleski today.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.