Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props

Jarren Duran has gone under 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's game.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Extreme flyball hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Masataka Yoshida will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Houck who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Kevin Kiermaier may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Justin Turner has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ceddanne Rafaela has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Reese McGuire has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Alejandro Kirk has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.