LIVE top 8th Jun 30
MIA 6 +222 o8.5
PHI 7 -247 u8.5
LIVE top 9th Jun 30
NYY 8 -111 o8.0
TOR 1 +102 u8.0
LIVE 10th Jun 30
COL 3 +195 o7.0
CHW 2 -216 u7.0
LIVE top 8th Jun 30
CHC 1 +171 o7.5
MIL 7 -187 u7.5
LIVE top 8th Jun 30
CLE 0 +115 o8.5
KC 6 -125 u8.5
LIVE top 8th Jun 30
CIN 0 +105 o7.5
STL 2 -113 u7.5
LIVE top 2nd Jun 30
LAD 0 -108 o8.5
SF 1 -100 u8.5
LIVE top 2nd Jun 30
DET 1 +100 o9.0
LAA 0 -108 u9.0
LIVE top 1st Jun 30
MIN 1 -107 o6.5
SEA 0 -101 u6.5
LIVE top 2nd Jun 30
OAK 0 +173 o8.5
AZ 0 -190 u8.5
TEX +140 o9.0
BAL -153 u9.0
Final Jun 30
PIT 4 +173 o9.0
ATL 2 -189 u9.0
Final Jun 30
SD 1 +100 o10.0
BOS 4 -108 u10.0
Final Jun 30
WAS 0 +171 o8.0
TB 5 -188 u8.0
MLBN, Sportsnet, NESN

Toronto @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Kevin Kiermaier may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Kevin Kiermaier may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in MLB. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in MLB. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Houck who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Houck who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Masataka Yoshida will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Masataka Yoshida will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast