LIVE top 1st Jun 30
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NBCSP, Bally Sports Network

Philadelphia @ Detroit props

Comerica Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup in today's game. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup in today's game. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Detroit

G. Urshela
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Gio Urshela encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

Gio Urshela

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Gio Urshela encounters a tough challenge in today's game.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Canha
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 10th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 10th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand today. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand today. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Kelly
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Colt Keith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Colt Keith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Colt Keith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today. Colt Keith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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