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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180 
|
|
5.11 |
-120 
|
u8.5 -103 
|
-1.5 +165 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games following a win.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.03 |
-162
|
o9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.86 |
+158
|
u9.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -104
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Fishers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-118
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
3.98 |
+106
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pallantes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0 in Giants last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
+160
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.94 |
-171
|
u8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +128
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games following a loss.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 home starts.
- Padres are 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+233
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+135 
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.29 |
-150
|
u8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +146
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
-110
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.10 |
+102
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+106
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.92 |
-120
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Stocks last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Over is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Junks last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+135
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.95 |
-150
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts overall.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Phillies last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
+182
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.75 |
-210
|
u9.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+213
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
+210
|
o9.0 -110
|
+4.0 -435
|
|
6.36 |
-240
|
u12.5 -481
|
-4.0 +265
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-185)
o1.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.72 |
+106
|
o7.0 -200
|
+2.5 -334
|
|
4.86 |
-120
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +250
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5+211
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+130
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -156
|
|
4.80 |
-148
|
u11.5 -500
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
Top Projection
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+155)
o2.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
-115
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.57 |
+108
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -164
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+116
|
o7.0 -155
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.53 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+240
|
o8.0 -148
|
+4.5 -334
|
|
5.80 |
-285
|
u9.0 -125
|
-4.5 +255
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
o0.5+249
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in Perezs last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in Wheelers last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 8-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene brings real home-run value with three long balls over his last six games and a .500 ISO during that span. His fly-ball profile lines up well against Matthews’ recent air-contact issues, while Minnesota’s bullpen also gives Greene another path if Matthews exits early.
Total
u8.5 (-105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is in great form, and both lineups have lacked consistent home-run power lately. Matthews’ homer issues are the main concern, but the bullpens have limited long balls, and Montero gives Detroit a stable enough starting point.
TOR
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Henry Bolte o0.5 Total Home Runs (+770)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I'm going long on a leadoff hitter who leads his team in swing speed and home runs while ranking second in HardHit% over the last two weeks. Henry Bolte has great pop for a leadoff guy, and he'll get to see an average Jays middle bullpen that could need six or seven arms today. He's already 3-for-6 in the series with a homer and three runs scored, while adding four stolen bases. It's almost 100 degrees at Sutter Health Park, which is the best park for runs today, per Ball Park Pal. I have Zack Gelof as a good look here as well at 5.8x, but getting a similar projection at 8.7x is the move. If you can't get Bolte at 8x, I'd move to Gelof at 5.5x or better. There is a great opportunity for long balls this afternoon in Sacramento.
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
If it weren't for rookie Kazuma Okamoto's power, the Jays would have just 110 home runs, as he has accounted for 21.4% of the team's total. He has already gone deep twice down the left-field line at Sutter Health Park and is looking to dinger-sweep the series. He shouldn't be longer than 3x at this park, especially with near-100-degree temperatures and a plus-plus hitting matchup. Both clubs will be going with bullpen days, and there are some stat-stuffers on the Athletics' side. Both teams can stack runs today, and I think the A's can be competitive, but with the heat and matchup, I'll take the only trusted Toronto bat at three percentage points above my fair price.
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+103)
Projection 4.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.. Andre Pallante's higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (49.8% compared to 42.8% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Walker Buehler in today's game.. Keibert Ruiz has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last year's 86.1-mph EV.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-118)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, and the Rangers also sit eighth in the overall metric and sixth in xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.6 runs per game. So, with Seattle rookie Kade Anderson also underwhelming at the highest level with a 5.14 xFIP, negative pitch values on both his fastball and changeup and an unintimidating 24.1% called-plus-swinging strike percentage, I like the Rangers to do the heavy lifting to send this total Over the number. Of course, Texas lefty Cody Bradford also sports a 5.48 xERA and 5.16 xFIP while allowing opposing hitters to tee off to the tune of a high-end .380 wOBA and 18.0% blast-contact rate.
Moneyline
TEX (+135)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Mariners prized prospect Kade Anderson lands in a tough matchup against the rolling Rangers on Wednesday. Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, and the Rangers also sit eighth in the overall metric and sixth in xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.6 runs per game. Anderson has also underwhelmed at the highest level with a 5.14 xFIP, negative pitch values on both his fastball and changeup and an unintimidating 24.1% called-plus-swinging strike percentage. So, with the Mariners ranking last in wOBA against lefties, in addition to 24th in the overall metric and 23rd in xwOBA over the past two weeks, I recommend the Texas moneyline to +125 this afternoon.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+337)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo has real power upside after going deep twice over the last week with a strong ISO and consistent fly-ball profile. Griffin is not a massive homer target, but his right-handed hitter splits and Cleveland’s bullpen air-contact numbers give Mayo enough paths to leave the yard.
Total
u8.5 (+103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is in strong form, and both starters have shown enough lately to keep this controlled. The bullpens also support the angle, with Cleveland’s relief corps dealing and Baltimore’s pen in good recent form despite some home-run vulnerability.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+266)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering Robert Stock's large platoon split, Joe Mack will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joe Mack has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Joe Mack will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I’m anticipating a low-scoring game tonight at Citizens Bank Park. Houston righty Hunter Brown has been solid down the stretch, and Philly ace Cristopher Sanchez has pitched at an elite level all season. Additionally, both bullpens have shown off in the second half, with Houston ranking ninth in xERA and sixth in xFIP, while Philly respectively checks in 11th and 10th. I also value that both offenses rank below average in wOBA against the respected handedness of the starting pitcher they're facing tonight.
Spread
PHI -1.5 (+142)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Philadelphia ace Cristopher Sanchez has been next to automatic and draws a below-average Houston offense ranking 16th in wOBA against lefties and 30th in xwOBA over the past 30 days. Of course, the Philly offense is fifth in xwOBA while striking out at the third-lowest clip over the past 30 days, too. It’s a good recipe for success against Houston righty Hunter Brown. He’s sporting a solid, but unspectacular 3.90 xERA and 3.99 xFIP with a concerning 12.7% walk rate across his past 11 starts, after all.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+477)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I want a left-handed bat in the Bronx today, and Cody Bellinger is answering the call at 17%, with a fair probability of 20%. He might not be in the best form since coming over, but he is at least hitting .290 and seeing the ball well. It's the matchup and setting that are pushing this into +EV territory. Yankee Stadium has 14-mph winds blowing out to left-center field, and Bellinger gets a matchup against Tomoyuki Sugano, who has given up 60 home runs over the last two seasons, the second-most in baseball behind Shoto Imanaga (64). Lefties have taken Sugano deep at a higher rate, with a home run coming every 15.7 plate appearances, which is a huge number. The Rockies bullpen is also very serviceable for a dinger in that Mickey Mouse Park.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Total
u8.5 (-115)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Davis Martin o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 5.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Davis Martin has averaged 91.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Esmerlyn Valdez, Rafael Flores, Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz).. It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Roberto Ortiz) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Davis Martin will hold that advantage in today's game.. Davis Martin has utilized his curveball 9.5% more often this season (14.3%) than he did last season (4.8%).
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. This year, Andrew Benintendi has been pinch hit for in 35% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Andrew Benintendi's launch angle this season (16.8°) is significantly lower than his 20.6° mark last year.. Andrew Benintendi's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 41.5% on the season to 30.4% over the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 14th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .220.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 10th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today (79%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.27
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
