Washington @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst field in MLB for righty BABIP. Zach Eflin will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Meneses in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.5°, Joey Meneses's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-1° in the past 14 days).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst field in MLB for righty BABIP. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Amed Rosario's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. Amed Rosario's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 75.5-mph over the past week. Amed Rosario's launch angle this year (4.3°) is a significant dropoff from his 7.5° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst field in MLB for righty BABIP. Yandy Diaz's launch angle lately (-2.3° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 3.8° seasonal mark. Last season, Yandy Diaz had a launch angle of 4.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just -0.7°.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Jesse Winker has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week.

CJ Abrams's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. CJ Abrams's launch angle recently (19.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 15.6° seasonal angle.

Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an advantage in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Eddie Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15.2% on the season to 33.3% over the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) may lead us to conclude that Eddie Rosario has suffered from bad luck this year with his .248 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Sporting a .332 BABIP this year, Jose Caballero finds himself in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Young has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 2.9% seasonal rate to 8.7% over the past two weeks. Jacob Young has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 84-mph figure. With a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jacob Young has performed in the 85th percentile.

Jose Siri's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Siri is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Jose Siri will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Luis Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia's launch angle this season (8°) is considerably better than his 4.5° angle last year.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Zach Eflin. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (21°) is considerably better than his 15.1° mark last year. Despite posting a .228 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has had bad variance on his side given the .068 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Tropicana Field. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Mitchell Parker. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Taylor Walls has posted a 38° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Lane Thomas has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days. Lane Thomas has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.1-mph in the past week.

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Tropicana Field. In terms of plate discipline, Nick Senzel's skill is quite good, posting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 89th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Isaac Paredes will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker today. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (45.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (21.7°) is significantly better than his 18° figure last year.

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Tropicana Field. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Alex Jackson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage today.