Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 31%. Ketel Marte's launch angle this year (7.3°) is considerably worse than his 10.6° angle last year. In the last two weeks, Ketel Marte's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) may lead us to conclude that Ketel Marte has been lucky this year with his .365 actual wOBA.