San Diego @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Cronenworth's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Manny Machado will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.5% over the last two weeks. Manny Machado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (5.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jurickson Profar has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jurickson Profar in today's game.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the best out of every team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .331, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .024 deviation between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph EV last year has decreased to 87.3-mph.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Brayan Bello will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Donovan Solano in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Donovan Solano in today's game. Donovan Solano's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 89.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. From last year to this one, Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 54.9% to 49%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today.

The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Enmanuel Valdez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's matchup.

The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand today. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the game for righty base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Higashioka tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Josh Winckowski.