MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 23 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Jake Meyers logo
Jake Meyers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1160)
Projection 0.1
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.. Jake Meyers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Over the last 7 days, Christian Walker's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 108.9-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Josh Naylor has been lifting the ball well of late, putting up a 23.3° launch angle in the past 7 days.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn't generate many whiffs (25th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.. Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, putting up a 97.8-mph average exit velocity in the last week.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Jake Burger has shown some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 107.3-mph on his flyballs over the past week.. Using Statcast data, Jake Burger grades out in the 79th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.900.. Jake Burger has averaged 26.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 77th percentile for power.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Detroit's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Austin Wells, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball batters like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane McClanahan.
Total RBIs
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey o0.5 Total RBIs (+315)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Michael Massey generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane McClanahan.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.. Michael Massey's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 25.99 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.85 ft/sec now.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jun 23 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. James Wood will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.. Bryson Stott has displayed some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 96-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game.
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+208)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kahlil Watson logo
Kahlil Watson o0.5 Total RBIs (+303)
Projection 0.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Kahlil Watson will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage over Sean Burke today.. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a 92.2-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games, Kody Clemens has been in great form of late.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 23 • 7:45 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Pavin Smith logo
Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pavin Smith is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pavin Smith will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage today.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 23 • 8:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ezequiel Tovar has performed in the 77th percentile.
View 9 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jun 23 • 9:38 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Putting up a 92.6-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days, Taylor Ward has been in great form of late.
Total Bases
Logan O'Hoppe logo
Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Logan O'Hoppe has been hot recently, compiling a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last week.
View 9 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Jun 23 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.3
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
View 10 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Jun 24 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo New York Mets logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chicago is hot at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game, and New York has statistical correction coming offensively. The Mets rank 23rd in BABIP with their .311 wOBA below their 12th-ranked .321 xwOBA to go along with a sixth-ranked hard-hit rate across the past 30 days.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cubs are heating up at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game. Chicago lefty Shota Imanaga has also flipped the script with just a single run allowed and opposing hitters limited to a miniscule 19.3% squared-up contact rate and 3.5% blast contact rate across 10 2/3 innings over his past two starts. The Cubbies should also have their way with struggling New York Mets righty Kodai Senga. His 5.12 xERA ranks in the 17th percentile, and he has negative pitch values on three of his most frequent four offerings, after all.

View 13 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.