Texas @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94.6-mph seasonal average has fallen to 91.2-mph over the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jonah Heim is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonah Heim today. Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.7-mph figure last season has fallen off to 89.2-mph.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Josh Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the deepest. Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. From last season to this one, Adolis Garcia's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.2 mph to 93.6 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°, Adolis Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Adolis Garcia has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 24th percentile with a 3.59 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Nathaniel Lowe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.

Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's deepest LF fences today. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Marcus Semien has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games. In the past 7 days, Marcus Semien's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.2%. Sporting a .254 BABIP this year, Marcus Semien grades out in the 16th percentile.

Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Wyatt Langford is in the 3rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (35.5% rate this year).

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the deepest. Over the last two weeks, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 91.7 mph to 89 mph. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 50% on the season to 43.8% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) implies that Adley Rutschman has had some very good luck this year with his .298 actual batting average.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his worse side (0) today against Jon Gray

Jordan Westburg's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Austin Hays is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jon Gray will have the handedness advantage against Austin Hays today.

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Robbie Grossman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Cole Irvin in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Derek Hill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jon Gray will have the handedness advantage over Jorge Mateo today. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the same side that Jon Gray throws from, James McCann faces a tough challenge in today's game. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Andrew Knizner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the game for righty BABIP. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Davis Wendzel will have the handedness advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game. Davis Wendzel hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.