Pittsburgh @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been lucky given the .055 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.6-mph EV last season has lowered to 89.6-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Ozzie Albies has had positive variance on his side this year with his .254 actual batting average.

Austin Riley has gone under 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #5 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #5 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ke'Bryan Hayes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #5 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Duvall will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter today. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Yasmani Grandal's launch angle in recent games (34.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for righty batting average. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Luke Williams will have an edge in today's matchup. Luke Williams hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.