Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Joe Ryan throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Austin Martin pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Austin Martin's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. This season, Royce Lewis has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.4 mph compared to last year's 93.6 mph mark. Compared to last year, Royce Lewis has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.3% to 24.6% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Joe Ryan throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Christian Vazquez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Christian Vazquez's launch angle this season (16°) is considerably higher than his 9.6° figure last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) suggests that Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck this year with his .183 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's game. Ty France has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.2-mph mark.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Cal Raleigh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 30%.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mitch Garver has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days. Mitch Garver has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 20%.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 40.2% on the season to 71.4% in the past 7 days. Ryan Jeffers has compiled a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jose Miranda is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jose Miranda pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Jose Miranda's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 21.4%. Jose Miranda has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 94.1-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Willi Castro has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 13.2% in the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.6°, Willi Castro has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.4° angle in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Over the last 7 days, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 15.4%. Carlos Correa has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week, Byron Buxton's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 21.4%. Byron Buxton has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 101.3-mph over the last week. In the past week's worth of games, Byron Buxton's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Max Kepler's launch angle this year (18.9°) is significantly better than his 14.7° figure last year.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game. Dominic Canzone will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.6°, Dominic Canzone has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 42° angle over the past week. Dominic Canzone has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .220 figure is a good deal lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Dylan Moore has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last 14 days.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana's launch angle in recent games (23.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15.9° seasonal angle. Last year, Carlos Santana had an average launch angle of 7.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.6°. By putting up a 1.81 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.9-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, posting a .272 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .038 deviation.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo today... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Trevor Larnach is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.