BOS -159 o8.0
MIA +146 u8.0
STL +110 o8.0
PIT -119 u8.0
CHW +184 o9.0
CLE -203 u9.0
NYM -143 o9.0
WAS +131 u9.0
CIN +187 o8.5
NYY -206 u8.5
HOU -102 o8.5
TOR -106 u8.5
SF +177 o8.0
ATL -195 u8.0
DET +109 o7.5
MIN -118 u7.5
PHI +113 o9.5
CHC -122 u9.5
SD -106 o7.5
TEX -102 u7.5
TB +103 o9.5
KC -111 u9.5
MIL -119 o11.5
COL +110 u11.5
LAA -111 o7.5
OAK +102 u7.5
BAL -110 o7.0
SEA +102 u7.0
AZ +169 o9.0
LAD -185 u9.0
NBCSCH, COLR

Colorado @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chris Flexen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle today. Brenton Doyle has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Brenton Doyle has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chris Flexen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle today. Brenton Doyle has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Brenton Doyle has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Goodman
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Hunter Goodman will not have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Hunter Goodman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Hunter Goodman will not have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Hunter Goodman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Elias Diaz will have an edge today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Elias Diaz will have an edge today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Stallings
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Chris Flexen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Stallings today. Jacob Stallings has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Compared to last season, Jacob Stallings has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.9% to 49.5% this season. In the last 14 days, Jacob Stallings's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.5%.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chris Flexen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Stallings today. Jacob Stallings has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Compared to last season, Jacob Stallings has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.9% to 49.5% this season. In the last 14 days, Jacob Stallings's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.5%.

Aaron Schunk Total Hits Props • Colorado

A. Schunk
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Aaron Schunk will not have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Aaron Schunk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Aaron Schunk will not have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Martin Maldonado will have an edge in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .125 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .254 — a .129 disparity.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Martin Maldonado will have an edge in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .125 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .254 — a .129 disparity.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Brendan Rodgers faces a tough challenge in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Brendan Rodgers faces a tough challenge in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Over the last 7 days, Michael Toglia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.5% up to 27.3%. Michael Toglia has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last season's 91-mph mark. Michael Toglia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 96.2-mph.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Over the last 7 days, Michael Toglia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.5% up to 27.3%. Michael Toglia has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last season's 91-mph mark. Michael Toglia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 96.2-mph.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Luis Robert will have the upper hand today. Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage today.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Luis Robert will have the upper hand today. Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage today.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an edge in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 figure is a fair amount lower than his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an edge in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 figure is a fair amount lower than his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's game. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's game. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. In terms of plate discipline, Charlie Blackmon's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.78 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. In terms of plate discipline, Charlie Blackmon's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.78 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

Corey Julks Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

C. Julks
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Corey Julks will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Corey Julks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Julks has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.7-mph EV. Corey Julks's launch angle this season (19.9°) is significantly higher than his 16.8° angle last year.

Corey Julks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Corey Julks will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Corey Julks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Julks has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.7-mph EV. Corey Julks's launch angle this season (19.9°) is significantly higher than his 16.8° angle last year.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have the upper hand in today's game. Eloy Jimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have the upper hand in today's game. Eloy Jimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Ryan McMahon has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 46.1% to 53.4%.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Ryan McMahon has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 46.1% to 53.4%.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage over Elehuris Montero in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Elehuris Montero has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .039 discrepancy. This year, the hardest ball Elehuris Montero has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), ranking in the 89th percentile.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage over Elehuris Montero in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Elehuris Montero has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .039 discrepancy. This year, the hardest ball Elehuris Montero has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), ranking in the 89th percentile.

Daniel Mendick Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

D. Mendick
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Danny Mendick will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's game. Danny Mendick has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Danny Mendick will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Danny Mendick's quickness has increased this year. His 25.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.51 ft/sec now. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Danny Mendick and his 20% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Daniel Mendick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Danny Mendick will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's game. Danny Mendick has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Danny Mendick will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Danny Mendick's quickness has increased this year. His 25.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.51 ft/sec now. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Danny Mendick and his 20% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Paul DeJong will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Paul DeJong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (21.8°) is quite a bit better than his 15.5° mark last season.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Paul DeJong will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Paul DeJong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (21.8°) is quite a bit better than his 15.5° mark last season.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Nolan Jones has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.2-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Nolan Jones has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.2-mph in the past week's worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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